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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards32%9083
18Hawks68%97101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
37.2
36.1
20
52%
2
6
3
2
1
6
1
1
8-10
80%
6-15
5-12
40%
42%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
27.7
20.2
13
69%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
27.6
26.1
15
63%
12
0
2
1
1
2
3
9
1-2
50%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.3
27.4
34.4
4
15%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
2-13
7-15
15%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
21.7
24.6
1
7%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
4-9
0%
43%
0-5
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
31.7
21.4
21
72%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
26.2
18.1
7
88%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
16.9
18.1
2
100%
3
2
3
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
10.8
9.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
5.8
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
3.5
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
3.5
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.1
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
33.3
28.3
18
56%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
4-8
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
33.1
23.4
15
53%
10
4
0
1
2
2
4
6
5-7
71%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
32.5
28.3
11
51%
10
2
2
1
2
0
2
8
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.5
32.4
22.5
11
46%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.5
29.9
23.3
17
69%
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
6
7-10
70%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
19.5
19.0
11
72%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
16.0
19.9
6
80%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
14.3
21.4
5
63%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
14.3
15.1
3
25%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
40%
1-6
17%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
12.4
19.0
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
2.3
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.1
6.1
0
1-1
43%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.