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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Celtics59%9678
27Hornets41%9397
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.8
34.4
40.9
13
67%
2
6
1
2
0
4
1
1
2-4
50%
4-7
6-12
57%
49%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.4
29.6
36.8
15
72%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
4-8
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
26.6
32.4
8
40%
7
4
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-10
6-11
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
21.3
19.0
2
17%
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
18.9
12.4
7
58%
4
0
2
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
24.7
17.0
6
23%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
3-11
2-4
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
24.3
28.9
11
37%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-13
4-9
31%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
22.9
18.5
10
61%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-5
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
20.3
2.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
6
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.8
7.6
2.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
6.1
8.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
3.4
4.5
4
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
11.6
0
2-4
53%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
40.5
32.4
8
41%
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
5
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
38.3
10.2
21
55%
4
9
1
0
2
1
0
4
5-5
100%
8-15
1-3
53%
45%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
34.8
27.1
13
89%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-3
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
29.3
29.2
20
80%
11
0
0
1
1
2
5
6
8-8
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.2
27.4
26.7
13
66%
6
0
0
1
5
3
1
5
1-2
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
27.3
19.6
12
40%
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
6
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.9
15.3
21.8
6
38%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
10.7
12.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
9.7
13.3
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
2.3
5.4
1
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
2.3
3.9
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
2.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
35.6
1
5-11
49%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.