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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets21%9078
7Magic79%10194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
34.6
27.0
9
63%
10
1
0
1
1
3
0
10
3-5
60%
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
32.5
33.0
10
32%
4
7
2
1
1
6
0
4
6-8
75%
2-9
4-8
22%
47%
0-3
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
25.8
16.4
9
50%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
25.1
15.1
8
37%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-4
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
12.8
26.0
4
100%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
42%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.7
25.9
8.1
9
113%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
37%
3-4
75%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
21.0
20.3
4
20%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-3
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
20.7
18.4
17
54%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
5-13
2-5
38%
41%
2-2
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
16.5
12.7
2
20%
5
0
0
0
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
11.3
18.5
2
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
7.1
11.8
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
6.7
17.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
6.3
0
1-1
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.7
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
37.4
36.8
16
62%
24
3
3
1
3
3
6
18
2-9
22%
7-9
7-12
78%
59%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
37.0
31.6
11
39%
6
7
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
33.1
28.9
22
66%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
5-6
83%
4-9
2-3
44%
49%
3-5
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
32.7
30.1
16
48%
5
2
2
1
0
2
3
2
4-6
67%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
16.8
30.1
0
0%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
28.3
16.4
9
75%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
3-4
75%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
24.0
20.2
5
28%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
23.2
25.3
15
63%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
6.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
1.5
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.4
8.5
0
1-2
49%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.9
5.0
0
1-2
46%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
4.0
0
0-0
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.