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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks43%100102
3Thunder57%102104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.5
38.8
28.1
29
68%
10
4
0
0
0
4
2
8
10-10
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
34.6
25.8
3
50%
4
3
5
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.6
31.5
25.2
8
36%
6
1
2
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.4
22.9
23.3
15
64%
4
6
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
22.6
16.9
8
54%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-1
0%
4-7
1-2
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
31.6
26.8
16
47%
0
9
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
4-8
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.1
20.7
9.8
9
78%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.1
17.0
23.9
4
18%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-4
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
16.2
20.2
8
45%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-3
67%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
4.2
6.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
11.9
0
2-3
49%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
9.0
0
0-0
41%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
5.1
0
1-2
43%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
41.2
37.3
30
75%
11
6
1
1
2
6
0
11
7-9
78%
7-11
7-13
64%
50%
3-5
60%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
36.8
22.4
16
64%
8
0
1
0
3
1
3
5
4-8
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
31.1
32.8
16
45%
4
4
2
2
0
7
2
2
4-6
67%
6-14
7-15
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
27.4
25.5
7
105%
4
0
1
0
1
6
1
3
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
13.3
23.4
0
0%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.3
34.9
30.0
15
70%
4
4
0
1
1
0
0
4
6-6
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
22.1
18.5
8
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
16.9
15.6
5
63%
2
3
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
10.8
14.0
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
5.5
15.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
4.1
0
0-1
44%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.0
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.