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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Nuggets34%102102
9Trail Blazers66%108111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
40.4
27.6
25
70%
4
3
8
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
8-13
4-7
62%
51%
2-3
67%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
35.2
26.2
16
43%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
8-8
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
0-5
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
34.5
25.1
10
39%
9
1
2
1
2
2
0
9
2-2
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
31.5
24.0
19
63%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
7-7
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
10.8
12.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.8
34.9
27.1
13
42%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
3-11
3-8
27%
45%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
22.7
20.3
8
37%
5
0
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-4
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.7
22.1
28.2
7
39%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
7.5
17.1
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.8
0.5
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
7.7
0
1-3
46%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.1
7.7
0
1-2
42%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
4.6
0
0-1
41%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
39.3
29.6
25
79%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
5-8
63%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
39.0
36.1
13
44%
5
6
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
6-14
9-18
43%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
38.2
33.0
13
78%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
3-3
100%
5-6
4-8
83%
51%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
33.9
29.3
23
68%
5
6
0
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
9-13
3-7
69%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
26.0
24.2
2
50%
12
2
0
1
3
3
2
10
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
30.8
23.0
22
55%
5
2
1
1
0
6
0
5
9-9
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
1-5
20%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
20.6
26.0
6
41%
6
1
1
1
4
4
1
5
3-3
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.2
12.2
14.4
7
90%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
7.1
0
1-2
46%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
6.4
0
1-2
48%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
6.2
0
0-1
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.1
6.1
0
1-2
56%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.9
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.