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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 29, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Knicks28%9482
6Lakers72%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
36.8
33.0
27
73%
7
5
0
1
1
5
1
6
9-10
90%
6-10
5-12
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.2
34.9
25.9
13
71%
11
1
3
0
2
1
4
7
11-14
79%
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
33.0
29.1
5
30%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
32.3
35.1
15
38%
2
0
3
1
2
4
1
1
6-6
100%
3-16
7-14
19%
49%
1-1
100%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
24.2
29.2
5
36%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.6
20.8
16.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-3
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.2
17.3
22.2
1
13%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
15.8
6.8
3
22%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
11.4
9.9
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-3
67%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
10.3
10.7
3
54%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.2
1.7
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
1.7
5.6
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.7
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.5
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
36.0
34.5
16
62%
10
5
0
1
2
1
1
9
2-2
100%
7-12
6-11
58%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.3
33.7
33.4
28
65%
4
6
1
1
1
5
0
4
7-10
70%
9-14
7-15
64%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.8
26.7
23.5
10
63%
6
1
3
1
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
21.7
26.1
5
32%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
1-2
50%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
14.2
17.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
24.7
26.7
9
54%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.8
24.6
20.2
11
61%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
3-5
60%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
22.2
23.7
4
50%
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
18.0
7.0
7
58%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
14.4
7.0
9
131%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
2.1
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
1.7
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
9.8
0
2-3
56%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.