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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic65%99100
29Bobcats35%9479
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
39.5
36.9
20
45%
24
4
1
1
4
3
6
18
6-14
43%
7-16
7-11
44%
59%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
35.0
30.8
23
61%
8
2
0
1
2
0
4
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
5-12
42%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
32.1
22.1
2
100%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.9
30.3
31.1
16
62%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
29.5
34.1
15
63%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
3-6
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
23.1
24.5
11
66%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
21.6
22.1
7
28%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
3-12
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
15.9
4.1
3
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
13.1
3.2
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.4
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
4.2
0
1-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.1
35.2
31.0
14
50%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
7-7
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
1-4
25%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
34.8
29.0
20
57%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
5-6
83%
3-11
4-9
27%
48%
3-4
75%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
32.5
36.7
8
31%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-13
6-13
31%
46%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
30.8
33.3
10
46%
6
6
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
1-3
33%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
17.6
27.1
8
44%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
20.2
7.1
0
0%
7
1
0
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.6
17.1
20.2
2
11%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-6
17%
40%
0-3
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
15.6
11.8
12
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
13.2
11.6
3
52%
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.3
11.8
11.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
11.1
7.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.5
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.