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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Rockets34%9393
15Grizzlies66%99113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
27.4
30.6
4
67%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
6-13
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.9
25.2
26.7
21
82%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
3-6
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
24.4
30.8
15
67%
3
8
4
1
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.6
15.1
20.0
11
56%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
13.3
19.7
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
32.0
22.3
7
35%
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.9
19.9
8.3
8
51%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
17.9
20.1
4
52%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
16.8
11.9
13
69%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
3-3
100%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
15.3
16.8
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
41%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
14.7
20.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
12.2
17.2
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
6.0
7.6
3
31%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
33.3
34.1
23
75%
9
3
3
1
0
3
1
8
1-3
33%
11-14
6-13
79%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
30.6
34.2
10
42%
8
2
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-2
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
29.4
34.9
20
84%
8
1
3
1
5
4
1
7
8-9
89%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
21.7
25.7
14
64%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
17.6
23.0
5
53%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
30.4
24.2
10
51%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
27.5
13.6
13
60%
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
5-8
1-2
63%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
26.3
7.8
9
44%
2
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
19.4
10.8
9
58%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
3.2
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
0.6
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
16.2
1
2-4
47%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.