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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Suns47%9293
22Hornets53%9378
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
35.9
22.5
7
39%
3
12
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
32.7
27.5
16
74%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.2
32.7
23.9
10
46%
3
3
1
1
2
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
29.9
19.9
12
71%
7
1
0
0
4
0
1
6
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
25.5
18.7
10
33%
16
2
0
0
3
1
2
14
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
2-9
22%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
25.4
21.3
18
60%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
6-7
86%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.7
17.4
21.1
4
34%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
15.9
19.5
11
56%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
12.1
20.1
3
150%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
1-1
100%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.5
11.2
10.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.3
1.2
24.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
6.9
0
1-1
42%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 25.2
2.2
0
0-1
48%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
39.2
25.9
12
30%
1
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-17
4-8
35%
46%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
35.5
30.6
8
30%
10
0
2
1
0
1
3
7
0-1
0%
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
2-6
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
32.4
28.7
17
47%
8
2
0
1
0
2
5
3
5-5
100%
6-16
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
27.9
26.7
10
48%
16
1
0
1
1
1
8
8
6-10
60%
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
27.8
35.7
7
29%
7
1
2
2
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
19.6
22.1
4
34%
2
1
0
0
3
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
17.2
11.6
8
44%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
16.9
17.7
4
34%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
16.2
11.6
6
63%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
4.4
2.1
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
1.5
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.7
1.5
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
21.1
1
3-6
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.7
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.