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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat72%107103
21Timberwolves28%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.9
38.4
33.6
19
44%
3
5
0
1
3
5
0
3
3-6
50%
8-19
7-14
42%
52%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
37.2
36.1
34
61%
8
10
4
2
1
4
1
7
2-4
50%
16-25
7-14
64%
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
36.0
34.3
20
55%
9
4
1
1
1
3
1
8
2-3
67%
9-15
6-12
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
23.1
20.7
0
0%
8
0
2
0
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
14.6
25.4
9
90%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
30.0
21.5
12
60%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
26.6
29.0
9
60%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
23.0
16.1
0
0%
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-5
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
8.6
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
2.4
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.3
32.5
37.2
25
58%
12
3
2
1
0
6
4
8
4-6
67%
9-16
5-11
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
21.8
29.0
4
33%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
6-13
33%
46%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.5
17.2
20.4
3
39%
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
17.1
27.0
6
50%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
2-6
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
17.1
26.2
6
50%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
30.9
26.0
12
72%
6
12
1
1
0
5
0
6
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
30.9
5.7
11
42%
5
1
3
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
40%
1-6
17%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
26.9
19.1
10
49%
7
1
0
0
0
2
1
6
3-5
60%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
24.9
3.6
14
71%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
20.6
21.5
10
73%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
21.5
0
3-7
45%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
4.5
0
1-1
48%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
3.9
0
0-1
42%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.