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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards27%9081
16Bucks73%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
36.4
35.9
6
28%
1
7
1
2
3
4
1
0
4-4
100%
1-8
5-12
13%
41%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
32.0
21.9
14
55%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
28.5
30.6
9
29%
10
1
1
1
1
1
3
7
1-1
100%
4-13
6-13
31%
44%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
28.1
26.6
10
42%
9
0
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-2
0%
5-11
4-9
45%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
22.3
26.2
3
15%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-8
4-8
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
35.9
22.9
24
55%
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
6-13
3-8
46%
42%
3-7
43%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
23.9
22.4
3
50%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
1-3
33%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
14.8
12.1
3
39%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
8.9
10.6
7
117%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
39%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
7.5
17.8
2
100%
0
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
2.0
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.1
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
34.6
34.6
22
61%
2
5
0
1
1
4
0
2
5-7
71%
7-9
4-10
78%
43%
1-6
17%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
34.6
32.6
13
50%
15
2
0
1
3
3
2
13
1-2
50%
6-12
6-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
28.7
25.3
16
78%
7
4
1
1
0
2
0
7
3-5
60%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
21.9
30.9
13
86%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-8
63%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
21.7
26.0
7
39%
2
4
0
1
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.3
29.2
9.9
15
68%
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
43%
3-5
60%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
22.9
19.0
8
57%
3
2
0
1
0
3
3
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.6
21.5
10.5
4
50%
5
1
2
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
16.4
21.4
4
58%
1
4
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
6.0
12.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
2.5
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
26.5
1
3-7
48%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
8.1
0
1-3
48%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.