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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 31, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Nuggets42%10189
7Lakers58%10392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
37.0
29.3
7
27%
7
3
2
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
0-4
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
33.4
28.6
13
53%
8
0
2
1
0
4
3
5
3-5
60%
5-10
5-8
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
31.4
32.2
9
46%
3
8
2
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
26.1
11.8
8
57%
10
2
0
0
4
3
3
7
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
25.6
26.7
13
53%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.8
33.0
29.8
13
60%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
45%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
29.0
21.0
21
59%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
3-8
38%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.7
19.7
25.5
3
25%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
4.9
13.2
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.8
8.0
0
1-2
43%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.1
5.3
0
1-1
44%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
5.2
0
1-2
47%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.4
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
36.5
34.8
17
72%
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
3-4
75%
7-9
6-12
78%
53%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
33.4
33.3
17
41%
10
9
1
1
0
4
2
8
5-6
83%
6-13
8-15
46%
49%
0-5
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
31.7
9.1
29
75%
13
1
1
0
2
5
6
7
3-3
100%
13-18
2-3
72%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
21.7
24.4
6
43%
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
20.4
11.9
7
50%
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.8
26.3
21.9
5
25%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
39%
0-6
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
23.0
9.8
5
42%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.8
21.6
24.5
6
100%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
19.8
25.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
5.6
22.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
16.3
0
2-4
49%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.