Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	42%	101	89	95.7	93	103.0
	7	Lakers	58%	103	92	96.8	95	86.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	37.0	7	27%	7	3	2	1	1	1	0	7	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.4	13	54%	8	0	2	0	4	4	3	5	3-5	60%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	31.4	9	45%	3	8	2	0	4	2	1	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	26.1	8	57%	10	2	0	4	3	4	3	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	25.6	13	59%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-5	60%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	33.0	13	59%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	29.0	21	58%	3	1	1	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	3-8	38%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	19.7	3	25%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	4.9	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	36	22	11	5	14	0	8	28	14-22	64%	27-54	50%	7-26	27%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	37.0	7	27%	7	3	2	1	1	1	0	7	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 29	33.4	13	54%	8	0	2	0	4	4	3	5	3-5	60%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	31.4	9	45%	3	8	2	0	4	2	1	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	26.1	8	57%	10	2	0	4	3	4	3	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	25.6	13	59%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-5	60%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	33.0	13	59%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	29.0	21	58%	3	1	1	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	3-8	38%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	19.7	3	25%	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	4.9	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	36	22	11	5	14	0	8	28	14-22	64%	27-54	50%	7-26	27%

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7 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 31	36.5	17	71%	5	1	1	1	3	1	1	4	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 33	33.4	17	40%	10	9	1	0	4	4	2	8	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	0-5	0%
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 24	31.7	29	76%	13	1	1	2	5	2	6	7	3-3	100%	13-18	72%	0-0	-
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 37	21.7	6	43%	3	5	1	0	0	6	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 32	20.4	7	50%	7	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 32	26.3	5	25%	3	6	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 31	23.0	5	42%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 25	21.6	6	100%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 32	19.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	4	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-3	0%
Troy Murphy F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Devin Ebanks F · 6'9" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrew Goudelock G · 6'3" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Caracter #45 · F · 6'9" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darius Morris #1 · G · 6'4" 195 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	48%	50	24	6	4	19	0	14	36	12-15	80%	37-62	60%	2-24	8%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.97 48.4%

LAL

0.96 47.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

28

54%

LAL

18

29

62%

Midrange

DEN

12

26

46%

LAL

19

33

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

LAL

2

3.0

24

8%

13%

Free Throws

DEN

14

22

64%

LAL

12

15

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Harrington	21	58%	10.5 / 18
Nene	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Afflalo	13	59%	6.5 / 11
A. Miller	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Lawson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Mozgov	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Gallinari	7	27%	3.5 / 13
R. Fernandez	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Andersen	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bynum	29	76%	14.5 / 19
P. Gasol	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Bryant	17	40%	8.5 / 21
M. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
D. Fisher	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. McRoberts	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. Blake	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Kapono	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. World Peace	0	-	0.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 10 105.9	DEN 95.7 LAL 96.8 +1.1
Pace	2 94.1 21 90.6	DEN 103.0 +16.4 LAL 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 3 16.5	DEN 14.0 −2.7 LAL 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 13 49.1%	DEN 46.9% +0.4% LAL 46.5%
TO %	20 15.7% 23 15.8%	DEN 14.3% −3.5% LAL 17.8%
ORB %	13 27.7% 6 29.2%	DEN 18.2% LAL 33.3% +15.1%
FTrt	2 32.6 9 29.9	DEN 27.5 +10.1 LAL 17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 5 61.1%	DEN 64.7% +3.2% LAL 61.5%
STL %	15 8.6% 30 6.4%	DEN 11.8% +5.5% LAL 6.3%
BLK %	16 8.1% 19 7.9%	DEN 8.1% +0.7% LAL 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 10 51.8%	DEN 48.4% +0.5% LAL 47.9%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 10 59.2%	DEN 53.6% LAL 62.1% +8.5%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 5 41.1%	DEN 46.2% LAL 57.6% +11.4%
3P %	24 33.2% 26 32.6%	DEN 26.9% +18.6% LAL 8.3%
FT %	24 73.6% 16 75.6%	DEN 63.6% LAL 80.0% +16.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 19 35.2%	DEN 35.0% +1.3% LAL 33.7%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 22 43.9%	DEN 32.5% −5.9% LAL 38.4%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 18 20.9%	DEN 32.5% +4.6% LAL 27.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	93	95
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	89	92
Rebounds	36	50
Assists	22	24
Steals	11	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	36 (2)
Field Goals	34-80	39-86
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	18-29
Midrange FG	12-26	19-33
2-Point FG	27-54	37-62
3-Point FG	7-26	2-24
Free Throws	14-22	12-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg