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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Celtics70%9594
30Wizards30%8886
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
34.6
31.4
13
60%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
2-5
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
33.7
33.3
18
69%
11
14
1
2
0
3
4
7
4-7
57%
7-10
5-9
70%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
27.8
27.9
24
61%
9
3
1
1
1
3
2
7
6-6
100%
9-17
5-9
53%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.2
27.6
25.8
9
42%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
4-6
67%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
23.3
23.2
8
57%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
30.7
24.6
8
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
20.3
20.3
2
33%
0
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.6
16.6
20.0
6
77%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
12.2
12.8
4
50%
3
0
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
9.7
6.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.8
1.8
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
1.6
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
14.3
0
1-2
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
39.4
35.4
19
56%
7
8
1
2
1
1
0
7
7-9
78%
6-13
5-11
46%
42%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
34.7
25.1
8
33%
4
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-4
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
34.6
27.0
16
47%
14
1
1
1
5
2
6
8
4-5
80%
6-15
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
34.4
29.3
10
63%
3
0
0
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
29.8
24.3
18
54%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
7-12
3-8
58%
45%
0-3
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
14.2
28.4
5
32%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
13.8
13.1
7
79%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
13.5
22.6
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
11.5
12.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
10.8
4.4
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-4
25%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
1.6
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
1.6
3.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.1
6.4
0
1-1
47%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.