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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bobcats13%9290
1Heat87%107129
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
30.1
34.2
8
31%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
6-13
33%
44%
0-1
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
27.5
22.3
21
88%
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
9-11
4-7
82%
47%
1-1
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.1
23.7
32.6
4
17%
4
7
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
43%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
22.5
31.7
5
63%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
18.6
31.0
2
15%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
5-10
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
25.5
12.6
14
59%
7
2
2
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-9
1-3
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
24.3
18.7
17
56%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
4-9
2-6
44%
38%
2-4
50%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
21.6
13.5
6
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.3
19.9
11.7
6
39%
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
3
2-6
33%
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.3
12.6
9.3
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.5
9.2
3.5
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
39%
1-1
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
4.5
12.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
5.5
0
1-2
44%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
29.4
34.4
24
77%
10
1
2
1
0
3
1
9
6-6
100%
9-13
6-12
69%
52%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
29.3
21.7
8
68%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
29.1
35.3
22
62%
3
6
2
2
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
9-16
8-14
56%
53%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
28.0
35.9
16
63%
9
5
1
2
0
2
0
9
4-6
67%
6-10
8-14
60%
56%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
28.0
21.0
16
114%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
4-4
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
23.8
8.8
6
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
20.9
27.9
6
52%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
20.1
24.6
16
78%
1
9
3
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
6-8
4-8
75%
48%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
9.2
1.8
9
65%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
8.5
1.6
2
100%
4
2
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
7.9
2.0
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
5.8
18.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
6.4
0
1-1
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.