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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Grizzlies26%9364
3Bulls74%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
31.1
32.0
8
49%
10
0
2
1
2
2
3
7
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
28.3
32.5
5
20%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-12
6-12
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
27.2
23.5
4
15%
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-11
2-6
18%
41%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
14.3
20.3
2
20%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
11.1
33.3
2
20%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
6-13
20%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
27.2
27.0
6
30%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
24.5
14.6
4
50%
7
1
2
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
24.3
2.0
10
46%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-4
75%
2-5
0-0
40%
41%
1-4
25%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
20.8
16.7
6
33%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
0-2
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
18.4
7.2
10
56%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-2
56%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
12.9
19.8
7
90%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
10.1
0
1-3
44%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
9.1
0
1-2
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.8
34.9
15.2
17
72%
7
5
2
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
51%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
32.2
39.5
11
40%
7
3
0
1
2
3
4
3
2-4
50%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
25.6
36.7
16
59%
3
6
2
1
2
2
0
3
8-8
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.1
23.8
31.0
17
70%
11
0
2
1
1
0
2
9
3-5
60%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.8
22.1
29.0
8
52%
7
3
0
1
2
1
4
3
2-4
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
24.1
14.8
8
50%
8
0
2
0
3
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.8
23.3
10.7
6
44%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
20.4
16.8
7
39%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
12.2
12.6
4
50%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.1
10.3
1.9
8
57%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.3
5.6
2.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
5.6
0.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.9
28.8
1
5-10
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.