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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets52%9480
28Kings48%9396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
37.5
31.5
17
57%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
8-11
3-7
73%
46%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
35.4
32.4
6
25%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-7
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
33.0
27.0
13
67%
12
1
0
1
1
0
5
7
3-6
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
31.9
31.8
6
27%
4
8
0
1
0
8
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
21.0
29.9
12
55%
5
0
0
1
0
2
5
0
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
27.3
17.2
6
33%
2
8
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
26.8
21.1
14
47%
15
1
0
0
1
3
3
12
4-4
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.8
12.9
14.2
2
15%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-4
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
10.7
13.6
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
2.0
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.3
1.4
3.4
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
14.8
0
2-4
50%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
2.8
0
0-1
40%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
38.5
25.8
13
57%
4
2
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
37.5
33.3
27
63%
4
3
1
1
1
4
0
4
7-8
88%
7-15
5-10
47%
46%
2-3
67%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
35.7
28.2
6
33%
10
3
1
1
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
35.1
35.5
25
59%
6
1
5
1
0
1
3
3
6-7
86%
8-13
4-9
62%
47%
1-5
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
24.9
16.9
4
27%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
2-3
67%
1-6
3-6
17%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.8
21.4
24.4
7
44%
0
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.4
21.1
18.2
4
29%
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
11.3
11.0
4
41%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
9.4
6.6
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
4.6
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
0.5
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
6.2
0
1-1
49%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
3.1
0
0-1
46%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.