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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers43%10388
9Clippers57%10593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
41.6
36.9
19
43%
9
2
1
1
0
2
4
5
1-2
50%
9-20
8-17
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
37.8
30.7
12
51%
1
8
0
1
0
6
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
30.7
33.4
12
53%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
29.6
34.6
0
0%
7
0
3
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
25.2
24.7
3
39%
8
0
2
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
27.7
26.0
23
58%
4
4
0
1
0
5
2
2
8-9
89%
6-11
3-7
55%
45%
1-5
20%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.0
26.4
23.6
15
69%
8
2
1
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
51%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.2
18.4
13.3
4
67%
3
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.1
2.6
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
4.5
0
0-1
43%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.9
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
41.6
30.9
19
52%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-5
60%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
2-8
25%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.4
38.6
27.9
9
58%
11
1
3
1
1
2
4
7
1-4
25%
4-6
3-5
67%
64%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.8
37.0
36.6
20
65%
10
4
1
1
0
5
1
9
8-10
80%
6-11
9-18
55%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.7
36.9
38.2
17
57%
1
7
2
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
1-5
20%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.3
26.3
16.0
8
40%
3
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.0
32.8
28.6
13
45%
4
8
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.1
12.9
12.6
3
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.3
12.1
15.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
1.7
6.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.3
18.7
1
2-4
44%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.6
6.7
0
0-1
44%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.1
4.8
0
0-1
46%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.8
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.