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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards17%8692
8Celtics83%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
40.2
36.7
11
37%
3
8
2
2
2
7
0
3
3-4
75%
4-13
5-12
31%
41%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
39.8
28.6
9
45%
6
1
2
1
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
38.1
31.5
28
57%
9
1
2
1
2
1
3
6
8-10
80%
10-20
6-13
50%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
31.9
26.6
10
32%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
44%
0-4
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
31.5
30.2
17
86%
14
0
1
1
3
0
3
11
1-2
50%
8-9
5-10
89%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
14.1
2.9
4
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
13.0
8.6
5
63%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
11.9
13.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
11.3
22.0
5
34%
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
3-3
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
8.2
18.6
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
15.6
0
2-4
44%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
6.5
0
1-1
38%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.1
6.2
0
1-1
45%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.9
38.2
33.3
6
38%
7
13
1
2
0
7
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.5
34.9
32.4
27
74%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
3-9
2-5
33%
52%
6-7
86%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.2
34.7
26.7
21
57%
8
4
1
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
51%
4-9
44%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.6
33.7
27.8
10
47%
6
6
0
1
1
3
2
4
4-6
67%
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
21.1
12.7
13
74%
7
2
0
0
2
1
3
4
3-4
75%
5-7
1-2
71%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
31.1
26.9
14
54%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-13
5-9
54%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.0
13.3
20.2
7
55%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.7
13.2
18.5
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
10.0
7.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
9.8
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.1
9.4
0
1-1
44%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 22.9
3.5
0
0-1
45%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.