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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pacers63%97108
26Nets37%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
37.1
30.5
21
105%
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
5-5
100%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.7
32.5
34.0
15
45%
6
3
2
1
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
1-7
5-12
14%
46%
3-7
43%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
25.6
33.5
9
78%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
22.7
28.6
13
62%
5
4
0
1
1
0
3
2
1-1
100%
6-10
6-11
60%
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.1
21.2
27.7
9
51%
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.2
28.0
26.0
12
49%
7
0
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-3
67%
5-11
4-10
45%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
22.1
13.9
11
92%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
1-2
50%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.7
19.8
26.5
8
80%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-2
100%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.1
14.6
7.4
7
51%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.3
13.5
6.6
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.2
2.9
4.4
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.7
0.4
0
0-0
57%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
34.2
32.7
22
58%
2
8
2
1
1
2
1
1
9-11
82%
5-7
4-9
71%
48%
1-7
14%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
27.7
27.0
8
57%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
25.6
24.4
10
46%
5
0
2
1
2
1
3
2
2-4
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
22.5
13.5
2
11%
6
2
0
0
3
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-9
1-3
11%
46%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
17.4
25.2
12
82%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-2
50%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
31.9
18.4
21
56%
7
0
2
1
0
1
4
3
3-4
75%
6-12
3-7
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
22.0
11.8
7
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
18.8
8.1
6
63%
4
2
0
0
4
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
15.2
22.8
2
13%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-4
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.7
10.4
14.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
9.7
4.9
4
40%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
2.9
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
1.8
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.