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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks32%95100
1Heat68%10192
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
39.1
29.0
16
74%
9
2
1
1
2
1
3
6
4-4
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
37.7
32.7
21
61%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
35.3
29.6
15
68%
1
5
4
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
27.7
30.7
9
35%
6
3
1
1
2
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.5
22.5
24.0
8
67%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
25.5
21.7
16
72%
7
4
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-7
43%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
3-3
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
20.3
15.6
0
0%
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
12.6
15.2
8
80%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
38%
2-3
67%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
10.4
15.6
1
9%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
8.8
17.7
6
51%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
3.6
0
0-0
41%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
2.4
0
0-0
40%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
38.6
32.6
12
31%
3
10
3
1
1
3
0
3
4-6
67%
4-16
7-14
25%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
38.5
32.4
28
64%
7
6
0
1
0
4
2
5
6-9
67%
11-18
7-13
61%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
37.9
32.0
19
48%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
8-15
6-11
53%
50%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
26.6
24.0
6
55%
3
3
1
1
1
5
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
17.9
25.0
2
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
29.7
25.2
4
42%
10
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
2-4
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
24.1
13.6
11
103%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
3-4
75%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
18.0
22.8
10
67%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.2
8.7
15.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.