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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs66%10496
19Timberwolves34%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.5
33.3
27.8
16
80%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
4-7
57%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
30.7
28.1
11
40%
2
9
2
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
3-11
6-11
27%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
28.3
23.3
16
62%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
27.8
25.7
6
30%
3
2
1
1
0
2
3
0
2-2
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.4
12.7
24.8
8
62%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
22.3
19.5
4
29%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
20.2
22.5
12
68%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
17.4
18.2
6
44%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
17.3
14.8
4
67%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
17.1
8.5
9
65%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.7
13.2
17.9
4
33%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
6.4
0
1-2
43%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.3
43.5
35.2
24
70%
15
1
3
1
2
6
3
12
4-5
80%
4-6
5-11
67%
47%
4-9
44%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
43.1
27.8
19
60%
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
6-13
5-12
46%
45%
2-2
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.9
36.0
24.8
19
81%
1
9
0
1
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
2-3
67%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
29.6
17.8
14
117%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
41%
2-2
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.5
22.0
17.4
10
56%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.2
23.7
27.1
6
38%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
23.6
24.2
5
64%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.6
11.7
18.6
7
117%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.1
6.8
16.0
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.5
16.1
1
3-7
45%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
14.7
0
2-5
45%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.0
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.6
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.