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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Thunder45%10087
5Mavericks55%102100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
41.4
25.0
10
46%
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
39.3
33.4
27
56%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
4-7
57%
7-15
6-11
47%
50%
3-6
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
35.4
29.3
18
41%
8
3
3
1
0
2
1
7
2-4
50%
8-18
6-13
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
30.9
23.5
7
62%
6
1
0
0
1
2
4
2
5-6
83%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
8.3
20.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
31.4
29.1
16
61%
7
3
2
1
0
3
1
6
5-5
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
1-5
20%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
17.9
18.7
9
92%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
12.3
20.0
0
0%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
10.2
7.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
6.4
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
5.5
3.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-3
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
1.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.0
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.5
36.0
32.2
26
70%
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
9-11
7-14
82%
50%
1-5
20%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
34.1
31.4
0
0%
5
9
0
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
26.4
17.5
6
50%
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
26.1
28.3
17
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
7-15
4-8
47%
51%
1-2
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.4
16.6
21.0
4
40%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
31.4
29.0
15
63%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
23.7
18.7
14
54%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
8-9
89%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
21.1
20.6
10
63%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
20.5
16.0
8
65%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
1.6
7.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
1.4
10.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
1.0
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.