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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings42%9496
26Grizzlies58%97113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
26.4
34.2
9
38%
3
4
1
1
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-10
5-11
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
24.1
34.8
5
36%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
47%
1-2
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
23.1
19.5
12
52%
10
1
1
0
1
1
2
8
6-6
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
19.8
30.3
8
82%
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
49%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
13.8
30.0
2
25%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
29.1
23.1
17
66%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
41%
4-6
67%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
28.3
11.0
11
66%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
2-4
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
22.4
26.9
4
34%
8
1
2
1
1
2
6
2
2-2
100%
1-5
5-11
20%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
18.7
19.1
8
57%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
16.2
6.7
15
61%
5
3
1
0
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
37%
2-5
40%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
13.8
6.1
3
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
4.4
4.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
41.0
31.3
14
67%
15
3
2
1
0
2
1
14
0-1
0%
7-10
4-8
70%
55%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
35.2
30.6
23
63%
8
2
1
1
1
2
2
6
3-5
60%
10-15
6-11
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
25.6
24.7
5
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
25.1
17.5
10
40%
7
0
3
1
0
2
4
3
0-1
0%
5-12
2-5
42%
51%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
19.7
18.9
7
35%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
28.3
12.7
20
68%
7
1
3
0
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
8-12
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
22.7
7.2
14
75%
2
7
4
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
19.6
26.9
16
73%
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
8-10
3-6
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
14.8
16.8
4
40%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
7.0
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
1.1
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.6
6.2
0
1-2
51%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.