Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers46%102103
8Thunder54%10393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
42.0
38.7
30
62%
8
1
0
1
1
3
3
5
10-12
83%
10-19
9-18
53%
50%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
38.8
31.6
16
60%
6
2
4
1
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
7-10
3-7
70%
47%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
36.2
33.5
12
47%
4
7
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
33.0
31.5
13
41%
10
2
0
1
0
0
2
8
4-4
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
18.4
24.4
7
74%
5
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
24.5
25.0
12
68%
7
0
0
1
2
0
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
3-4
75%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
21.4
26.4
8
55%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.2
14.1
15.5
3
39%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.1
11.6
3.5
2
114%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
2.8
0
0-0
48%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
41.6
35.7
19
34%
5
2
1
1
3
3
0
5
2-4
50%
7-19
6-12
37%
49%
1-7
14%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
40.0
29.9
23
74%
4
6
3
1
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
39.1
31.6
22
52%
6
8
1
2
0
3
1
5
5-7
71%
7-15
6-15
47%
44%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.1
30.8
26.4
7
60%
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
17.6
31.3
8
100%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
4-9
100%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
23.6
12.1
2
20%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
23.2
17.2
6
60%
9
2
1
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
56%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
13.8
12.4
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
8.8
18.4
4
52%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
1.4
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.0
1.5
0
0-0
38%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.