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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bucks54%9973
21Jazz46%9785
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
44.5
35.1
8
21%
6
6
4
1
0
2
3
3
0-1
0%
4-12
4-10
33%
43%
0-7
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
36.3
6.5
24
60%
12
1
0
0
1
2
7
5
0-0
-
12-19
1-3
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
35.2
29.4
16
41%
6
5
2
1
0
6
2
4
5-6
83%
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
1-7
14%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.3
32.6
32.4
4
23%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-4
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
26.8
23.1
5
28%
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
0-7
3-6
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
23.3
17.7
9
54%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
16.1
6.3
5
43%
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
12.5
18.8
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.6
8.8
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
3.9
3.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
32.6
1
6-11
51%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
16.7
1
2-4
52%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
14.8
0
1-2
48%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.0
35.4
28.0
26
62%
10
0
3
1
2
2
1
9
6-9
67%
10-17
7-14
59%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.9
25.8
26.8
13
82%
12
2
1
1
2
3
2
10
1-2
50%
6-7
5-9
86%
52%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.8
25.3
25.4
12
76%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
4-4
2-5
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.8
17.3
24.7
0
0%
0
6
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
12.7
19.3
3
38%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.5
27.6
7.3
9
43%
2
6
0
0
1
2
2
0
7-10
70%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
26.1
20.5
9
38%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.6
23.8
20.3
0
0%
1
8
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.5
21.1
24.2
6
55%
7
0
1
1
5
2
1
6
0-1
0%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.6
12.6
14.5
5
87%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.8
6.8
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.7
4.3
22.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-8
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.2
1.1
4.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.