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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets29%9499
6Lakers71%102108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.9
40.2
30.4
12
34%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-8
13%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.8
38.8
32.4
22
55%
10
9
2
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
4-9
44%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.7
37.1
29.4
20
56%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
10-18
6-12
56%
49%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.6
28.1
22.5
16
62%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
4-7
57%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
19.4
20.8
2
25%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.6
18.3
18.8
7
64%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
16.8
22.5
9
57%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
15.2
16.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
12.0
11.5
2
41%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
11.3
14.4
9
90%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
2.9
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.9
9.4
0
1-2
41%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.9
4.8
0
0-1
50%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.9
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
38.2
22.4
21
57%
22
0
0
0
3
4
6
16
5-8
63%
8-15
4-7
53%
57%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
36.9
33.9
37
56%
8
6
0
1
1
2
2
6
7-9
78%
12-22
7-15
55%
49%
2-7
29%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
35.9
35.1
14
64%
8
1
0
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
7-11
6-11
64%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
21.4
22.3
6
61%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
20.4
18.0
8
110%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
26.6
24.4
11
62%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
2-3
67%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
24.0
23.8
4
33%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
21.4
15.6
5
125%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
15.3
13.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
8.5
0
1-2
46%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
2.6
0
0-0
45%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.8
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.