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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat47%97116
11Hawks53%98109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
49.1
26.9
29
61%
7
8
3
1
1
4
1
6
6-6
100%
7-10
1-3
70%
48%
3-11
27%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
49.1
19.4
9
41%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
47.3
32.7
33
57%
14
5
2
1
2
7
1
13
4-4
100%
13-24
6-11
54%
49%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.3
27.5
17.8
5
34%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
38%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
18.8
24.2
3
104%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
46.7
25.3
14
41%
11
1
0
0
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
6-16
2-5
38%
46%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
43.7
5.1
9
42%
14
4
0
0
0
2
7
7
2-4
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
19.9
21.2
9
53%
0
5
0
1
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
43%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
11.8
6.0
5
64%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
0.8
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
35.1
1
8-14
53%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
23.6
1
5-10
50%
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.4
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
49.2
35.9
20
44%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
1-7
14%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
46.8
32.2
6
19%
2
7
5
1
1
2
0
2
4-8
50%
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
0-4
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
42.4
31.2
17
41%
13
3
1
1
1
1
5
8
5-9
56%
6-16
5-11
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
40.1
34.8
10
71%
11
2
0
1
1
4
4
7
0-0
-
5-7
6-11
71%
53%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.5
29.4
26.6
7
32%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
47%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
29.9
20.1
14
61%
7
5
1
1
2
1
1
6
5-8
63%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
21.8
11.7
14
102%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-2
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
21.1
1.8
13
71%
4
0
1
0
0
5
2
2
3-5
60%
5-7
0-0
71%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
12.3
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
9.4
15.6
5
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-4
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
9.1
13.8
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
1-1
100%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
3.6
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.