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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks64%99100
28Kings36%95103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
42.9
38.1
31
63%
3
7
5
2
0
3
0
3
1-4
25%
6-13
5-11
46%
44%
6-10
60%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
38.7
30.8
13
57%
5
4
0
1
1
7
0
5
3-3
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
33.7
18.9
18
52%
9
2
2
0
0
4
4
5
6-10
60%
6-13
4-8
46%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
16.2
24.4
4
67%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
11.7
31.9
5
87%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
29.9
19.7
6
60%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
25.1
11.2
8
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.6
21.2
12.4
7
60%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
20.6
10.4
8
57%
3
4
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
15.8
1
2-4
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
11.2
0
1-2
49%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.6
42.4
31.2
27
54%
5
3
2
1
0
4
3
2
5-5
100%
8-17
4-9
47%
46%
2-6
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
41.4
28.3
26
59%
10
5
2
1
1
5
3
7
9-9
100%
7-13
4-10
54%
45%
1-5
20%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.1
35.8
24.8
13
44%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
0-5
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.4
27.5
25.0
19
46%
15
0
2
1
1
4
7
8
3-6
50%
8-18
4-10
44%
43%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.6
8.7
24.8
2
35%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.3
25.8
21.6
7
52%
11
1
1
0
1
1
5
6
3-4
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.9
23.0
25.6
7
44%
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-6
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.5
22.5
18.5
2
100%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.0
7.8
8.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.3
5.0
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 22.9
0.1
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
37%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.9
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.5
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.