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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Lakers42%9996
5Trail Blazers58%101107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
37.7
28.8
21
56%
12
1
0
0
3
2
1
11
3-6
50%
9-16
5-10
56%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
36.0
34.7
30
57%
8
3
0
1
0
4
2
6
4-5
80%
13-20
8-16
65%
47%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
30.8
35.1
19
78%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
5-5
100%
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
22.3
21.9
6
104%
1
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
41%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
17.1
18.9
6
63%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
27.3
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
25.8
25.0
4
22%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
40%
0-5
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
16.9
6.3
5
37%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.1
16.6
23.8
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
9.5
14.3
5
56%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
4.7
0
0-1
41%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
41.0
34.0
8
27%
4
10
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-11
3-8
27%
46%
0-3
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
37.5
31.6
31
70%
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-7
57%
12-17
4-7
71%
50%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
33.0
39.6
28
61%
10
0
1
1
0
1
1
9
6-7
86%
11-20
9-18
55%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
29.4
34.3
16
70%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
48%
3-4
75%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
22.0
21.4
0
0%
5
4
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
23.9
14.6
3
80%
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
23.3
23.8
17
49%
2
3
1
1
2
0
0
2
4-5
80%
5-13
3-6
38%
45%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
18.9
24.7
2
17%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
11.0
7.3
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.