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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nets40%9597
21Raptors60%9985
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
38.8
22.7
24
51%
5
9
2
1
0
4
0
5
11-13
85%
5-14
3-6
36%
49%
1-4
25%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
38.0
29.8
6
28%
16
1
0
1
0
3
9
7
2-6
33%
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
34.3
20.7
24
86%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
6-10
60%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
33.3
13.2
15
58%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
5-12
42%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
3.3
27.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
23.9
19.4
7
62%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
21.3
11.7
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
16.9
14.4
10
73%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
14.1
16.6
2
20%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
9.6
6.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
6.7
22.4
3
38%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
1-1
100%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
26.4
1
4-10
46%
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
36.1
35.4
19
66%
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
2-6
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.2
36.1
34.2
17
60%
4
3
0
1
2
1
1
3
4-5
80%
5-11
6-12
45%
49%
1-1
100%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
27.4
33.9
3
22%
2
2
2
1
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
6-12
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
25.4
25.6
8
47%
10
0
0
1
2
3
4
6
0-1
0%
4-8
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
23.1
19.7
11
70%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
25.8
18.3
11
60%
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6
3-5
60%
4-7
3-4
57%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
22.2
19.3
8
62%
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.1
15.3
18.4
2
20%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
11.9
8.6
4
50%
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
8.8
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
8.0
2.9
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.0
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.1
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.