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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Knicks65%10299
30Wizards35%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
41.0
26.7
23
49%
12
2
2
1
0
5
2
10
5-6
83%
9-21
6-11
43%
52%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
36.0
34.8
37
53%
7
4
1
1
0
4
3
4
3-5
60%
14-29
6-13
48%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
35.9
34.8
12
63%
15
2
1
1
0
1
9
6
6-8
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
61%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
18.1
28.4
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
11.6
34.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.5
37.0
26.2
10
42%
3
7
5
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
21.2
10.8
11
92%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
3-3
100%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.2
20.2
20.8
2
33%
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
18.9
16.5
2
50%
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
8.1
0
1-1
53%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
6.7
0
0-1
50%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.7
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.3
42.7
35.2
22
46%
5
9
1
2
0
5
1
4
2-4
50%
10-21
5-12
48%
42%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
41.8
26.6
24
57%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-13
4-9
38%
46%
4-7
57%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
36.4
27.5
13
63%
10
1
0
1
4
2
1
9
1-3
33%
6-9
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.4
27.7
31.5
15
63%
6
1
3
1
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
7-11
6-13
64%
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.4
22.8
29.9
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.1
26.7
17.6
12
75%
7
1
3
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
21.1
16.9
8
68%
7
2
2
1
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.2
11.4
18.8
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.1
9.5
11.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
11.7
0
1-1
42%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.7
8.0
0
1-2
48%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
5.9
0
1-1
47%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.7
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 25.0
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.