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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks61%100102
29Bobcats39%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
43.0
36.3
14
39%
2
6
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
42.6
33.2
15
53%
7
2
1
1
1
3
2
5
5-5
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
54%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
40.7
33.3
7
35%
1
9
0
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
39.8
31.7
23
60%
13
2
3
1
2
3
4
9
1-3
33%
11-18
6-11
61%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.5
32.2
25.3
15
44%
9
1
1
1
0
0
4
5
1-2
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
2-5
40%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
22.1
12.7
11
70%
7
2
0
0
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
12.3
11.5
9
65%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
40%
1-4
25%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
12.0
7.6
0
0%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
10.4
11.8
2
20%
5
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
10.0
13.6
6
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
12.1
0
1-3
44%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.2
42.0
31.8
21
59%
2
12
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
44%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.7
40.9
28.7
10
50%
9
4
1
1
1
3
3
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
2-5
40%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
33.3
33.9
4
22%
4
2
1
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
5-12
29%
47%
0-2
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
27.6
28.4
14
47%
9
0
0
1
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
7-15
4-9
47%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.3
17.0
18.9
4
100%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
34.0
4.5
7
35%
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-8
1-2
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.7
27.7
16.6
19
75%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
40%
3-5
60%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.9
24.1
17.9
17
63%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
1-1
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
48%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.4
13.4
12.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
5.2
10.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.2
26.7
1
4-8
48%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.9
6.2
0
0-1
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.6
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.