Final Win Prob. pScore
1732%88
87
968%95
74
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
102.48581.4
BOS logo Celtics
87.18589.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDBOS
Q4 - 0:00.0IND87
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSBradley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)87
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0INDHibbert 3' Layup (11 PTS)87
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0BOSBradley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stiemsma 1 AST)85
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR Bass85
70
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSSUB: Johnson FOR Rondo85
70
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSSUB: Pavlovic FOR Allen85
70
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Garnett85
70
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Pierce85
70
Q4 - 0:50.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)85
70
Q4 - 0:55.0INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (West 3 AST)85
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)82
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 1:22BOSMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot82
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)82
70
Q4 - 1:32INDCollison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)82
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 1:54INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 1:55BOSMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot79
98.7%
70
1.3%
Q4 - 2:00BOSSUB: Bass FOR O'Neal79
70
Q4 - 2:14BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q4 - 2:16INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot79
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 2:30BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)79
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 2:48INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q4 - 2:48INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 2:48INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
70
Q4 - 2:48BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.T3)77
70
Q4 - 2:56BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)77
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 3:05BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
93.1%
70
6.9%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 3:30INDPacers Rebound77
96.1%
70
3.9%
Q4 - 3:31BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot77
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q4 - 3:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
88.5%
70
11.5%
Q4 - 3:39BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 277
91.7%
70
8.3%
Q4 - 3:39INDSUB: Hill FOR George77
70
Q4 - 3:39BOSCELTICS Rebound77
70
Q4 - 3:39BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 277
90.1%
70
9.9%
Q4 - 3:39INDGeorge P.FOUL (P5.PN)77
70
Q4 - 3:40BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
88.6%
70
11.4%
Q4 - 3:41INDMISS Collison 2' Reverse Layup77
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q4 - 4:04BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 4:04INDSUB: West FOR Hansbrough77
69
Q4 - 4:04BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q4 - 4:04INDGeorge P.FOUL (P4.PN)77
68
Q4 - 4:14INDHibbert 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (George 2 AST)77
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q4 - 4:27BOSO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T2)75
68
Q4 - 4:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
92.8%
68
7.2%
Q4 - 4:29INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot75
90.6%
68
9.4%
Q4 - 4:55BOSGarnett 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
92.9%
68
7.1%
Q4 - 5:15BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass75
66
Q4 - 5:15BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
66
Q4 - 5:15INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)75
91.9%
66
8.1%
Q4 - 5:42BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)75
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 5:45INDRondo STEAL (3 STL)75
92.1%
66
7.9%
Q4 - 6:00BOSBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
94.4%
66
5.6%
Q4 - 6:00BOSCELTICS Rebound75
65
Q4 - 6:00BOSMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 275
94.6%
65
5.4%
Q4 - 6:00INDHibbert S.FOUL (P3.PN)75
65
Q4 - 6:01BOSBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
91.6%
65
8.4%
Q4 - 6:02BOSMISS Pierce 5' Jump Shot75
93.2%
65
6.8%
Q4 - 6:04INDHansbrough P.FOUL (P2.T4)75
65
Q4 - 6:04BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
91.6%
65
8.4%
Q4 - 6:05INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot75
92.4%
65
7.6%
Q4 - 6:20BOSAllen 23' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)75
93.9%
65
6.1%
Q4 - 6:36INDHansbrough 6' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)75
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q4 - 6:55BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q4 - 6:55BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Garnett73
62
Q4 - 6:55INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Price73
62
Q4 - 6:55INDSUB: George FOR Foster73
62
Q4 - 6:55INDSUB: Collison FOR Hill73
62
Q4 - 6:55BOSCELTICS Rebound73
62
Q4 - 6:55BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 273
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q4 - 6:55INDFoster S.FOUL (P4.T3)73
62
Q4 - 6:59BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 7:00INDMISS Hill 2' Driving Layup73
94.4%
62
5.6%
Q4 - 7:12INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
93.8%
62
6.2%
Q4 - 7:13BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q4 - 7:24BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
91.9%
62
8.1%
Q4 - 7:25INDMISS Granger 5' Jump Shot73
92.5%
62
7.5%
Q4 - 7:49BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P2.T1)73
62
Q4 - 7:51BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)73
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q4 - 7:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
92.0%
62
8.0%
Q4 - 7:59INDMISS Hill 23' Jump Shot73
92.6%
62
7.4%
Q4 - 8:21BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
92.0%
62
8.0%
Q4 - 8:21INDSUB: Granger FOR Jones73
61
Q4 - 8:21BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Dooling73
61
Q4 - 8:21BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
92.3%
61
7.7%
Q4 - 8:21INDFoster S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
60
Q4 - 8:40INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Price 2 AST)73
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q4 - 8:54BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Bradley70
60
Q4 - 8:5470
60
Q4 - 8:5470
60
Q4 - 8:54BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)70
90.0%
60
10.0%
Q4 - 9:08INDFoster P.FOUL (P2.T1)70
60
Q4 - 9:33INDHill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
85.3%
60
14.7%
Q4 - 9:54INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
78.2%
60
21.8%
Q4 - 9:56BOSMISS Garnett 23' Jump Shot67
77.0%
60
23.0%
Q4 - 10:16INDFoster Hook Shot (4 PTS)67
71.7%
60
28.3%
Q4 - 10:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q4 - 10:24INDMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot65
63.4%
60
36.6%
Q4 - 10:47BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)65
67.0%
60
33.0%
Q4 - 11:06INDHill 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)65
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q4 - 11:17INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
69.8%
57
30.2%
Q4 - 11:19INDMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot63
66.7%
57
33.3%
Q4 - 11:37BOSAllen 2' Layup (16 PTS)63
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q4 - 12:0063
55
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS63
74.4%
55
25.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
72.5%
55
27.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)63
73.7%
55
26.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSDooling 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
76.2%
55
23.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDHill 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q3 - 1:05INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
74.5%
53
25.5%
Q3 - 1:06BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup61
73.4%
53
26.6%
Q3 - 1:09BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 1:11INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 261
71.4%
53
28.6%
Q3 - 1:11INDSUB: Jones FOR Granger61
53
Q3 - 1:11INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
74.0%
53
26.0%
Q3 - 1:11BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P1.PN)60
53
Q3 - 1:20BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
70.7%
53
29.3%
Q3 - 1:31INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
74.8%
51
25.2%
Q3 - 1:31INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 1:31INDSUB: Price FOR Collison58
51
Q3 - 1:31BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce58
51
Q3 - 1:31BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)58
51
Q3 - 1:31BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P3.T3)58
51
Q3 - 1:49BOSGarnett 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)58
70.7%
51
29.3%
Q3 - 2:00INDCollison 9' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)58
74.9%
49
25.1%
Q3 - 2:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
68.6%
49
31.4%
Q3 - 2:04INDMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot56
65.7%
49
34.3%
Q3 - 2:19BOSDooling 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)56
68.7%
49
31.3%
Q3 - 2:43INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)56
72.6%
47
27.4%
Q3 - 2:54INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
64.6%
47
35.4%
Q3 - 2:55BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
63.3%
47
36.7%
Q3 - 3:05INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)53
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q3 - 3:05INDPacers Rebound53
62.9%
47
37.1%
Q3 - 3:06INDDooling BLOCK (1 BLK)53
59.8%
47
40.2%
Q3 - 3:30BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
62.9%
47
37.1%
Q3 - 3:30INDSUB: Foster FOR Hibbert53
46
Q3 - 3:30BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass53
46
Q3 - 3:30BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
63.5%
46
36.5%
Q3 - 3:30INDHill S.FOUL (P3.PN)53
45
Q3 - 3:43INDCollison 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
66.9%
45
33.1%
Q3 - 3:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 3:56BOSMISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot51
61.7%
45
38.3%
Q3 - 4:11INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
57.1%
45
42.9%
Q3 - 4:11BOSSUB: Dooling FOR Allen50
45
Q3 - 4:11INDSUB: Hill FOR West50
45
Q3 - 4:11INDSUB: Hansbrough FOR George50
45
Q3 - 4:11INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
56.5%
45
43.5%
Q3 - 4:11BOSStiemsma S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
45
Q3 - 4:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
53.6%
45
46.4%
Q3 - 4:15BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 4:19BOSStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q3 - 4:20BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot49
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q3 - 4:28INDCollison 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
48.5%
45
51.5%
Q3 - 4:50BOSPierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)47
45.0%
45
55.0%
Q3 - 5:01INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)47
51.7%
42
48.3%
Q3 - 5:14BOSStiemsma Foul Turnover (P1.T7)45
48.0%
42
52.0%
Q3 - 5:14BOSStiemsma OFF.Foul (P1)45
42
Q3 - 5:23INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q3 - 5:36BOSBass 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)45
48.1%
42
51.9%
Q3 - 5:49INDWest L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)45
40
Q3 - 5:49BOSCELTICS Rebound45
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q3 - 5:49INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot45
53.3%
40
46.7%
Q3 - 6:06BOSSUB: Stiemsma FOR O'Neal45
40
Q3 - 6:06INDGranger Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)45
54.9%
40
45.1%
Q3 - 6:06BOSRondo T.FOUL (P1.T1)44
40
Q3 - 6:12BOSPierce 1' Layup (4 PTS)44
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q3 - 6:13BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
54.6%
38
45.4%
Q3 - 6:14BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup44
57.6%
38
42.4%
Q3 - 6:19BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q3 - 6:20INDO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)44
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q3 - 6:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
58.9%
38
41.1%
Q3 - 6:28BOSMISS Rondo 7' Jump Shot44
57.7%
38
42.3%
Q3 - 6:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q3 - 6:42INDMISS West 14' Jump Shot44
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q3 - 6:56BOSSUB: Bass FOR Garnett44
38
Q3 - 6:56BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P1.T6)44
59.0%
38
41.0%
Q3 - 6:56BOSRondo OFF.Foul (P1)44
38
Q3 - 7:04INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)44
53.2%
38
46.8%
Q3 - 7:04BOSO'Neal L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)43
38
Q3 - 7:04INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
38
Q3 - 7:28BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)40
42.0%
38
58.0%
Q3 - 7:51INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)40
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q3 - 7:58INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)37
42.0%
35
58.0%
Q3 - 8:00INDMISS Granger 9' Jump Shot37
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q3 - 8:20INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)37
35
Q3 - 8:27BOSRondo 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)37
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q3 - 8:39INDCollison Foul Turnover (P3.T10)37
44.9%
33
55.1%
Q3 - 8:39INDCollison Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)37
33
Q3 - 8:46BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)37
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q3 - 8:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
56.2%
30
43.8%
Q3 - 9:00INDMISS Hibbert 5' Hook Shot37
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q3 - 9:13BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q3 - 9:13BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
59.4%
29
40.6%
Q3 - 9:13INDHibbert S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
28
Q3 - 9:38INDGeorge 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)37
62.3%
28
37.7%
Q3 - 9:54BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q3 - 9:54BOSCELTICS Rebound35
27
Q3 - 9:54BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 235
60.1%
27
39.9%
Q3 - 9:54INDGeorge S.FOUL (P3.T1)35
27
Q3 - 10:05INDWest 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q3 - 10:07INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)33
54.0%
27
46.0%
Q3 - 10:09INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot33
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q3 - 10:35BOSRondo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)33
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q3 - 10:41BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)33
25
Q3 - 10:49INDPierce STEAL (1 STL)33
57.4%
25
42.6%
Q3 - 10:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
61.1%
25
38.9%
Q3 - 10:53BOSMISS Pierce 12' Jump Shot33
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q3 - 11:15INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q3 - 11:29INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)33
59.9%
25
40.1%
Q3 - 11:31BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup33
58.9%
25
41.1%
Q3 - 11:34BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q3 - 11:36INDMISS West 1' Layup33
57.5%
25
42.5%
Q3 - 12:0033
25
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS33
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound33
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 20' Step Back Jump Shot33
58.9%
25
41.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot33
56.6%
25
43.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)33
58.3%
25
41.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
55.9%
25
44.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q2 - 1:05INDHibbert 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)33
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 1:26INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
50.9%
25
49.1%
Q2 - 1:28BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot31
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q2 - 1:42INDHill 13' Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q2 - 1:49INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup29
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 1:52INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q2 - 1:53INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup29
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 2:09INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 2:11BOSMISS Pierce 7' Turnaround Jump Shot29
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 2:24BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass29
25
Q2 - 2:24INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
25
Q2 - 2:24INDHill P.FOUL (P2.T4)29
25
Q2 - 2:24BOSCELTICS Rebound29
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 2:24INDO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)29
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q2 - 2:37INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 2:39BOSMISS Bass 2' Layup29
43.3%
25
56.7%
Q2 - 2:58INDCollison Running Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)29
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 3:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q2 - 3:14BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup27
36.9%
25
63.1%
Q2 - 3:36INDHibbert Dunk (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)27
34.6%
25
65.4%
Q2 - 3:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
32.3%
25
67.7%
Q2 - 3:56BOSMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot25
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q2 - 4:18INDCollison Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)25
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q2 - 4:36INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
31.8%
25
68.2%
Q2 - 4:37INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot25
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q2 - 4:57BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
31.8%
25
68.2%
Q2 - 4:57INDSUB: Granger FOR Jones25
24
Q2 - 4:57BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
32.4%
24
67.6%
Q2 - 4:57INDJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
23
Q2 - 5:03BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 5:04BOSMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot25
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q2 - 5:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q2 - 5:14INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot25
35.0%
23
65.0%
Q2 - 5:32BOSPierce 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)25
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q2 - 5:36INDRondo STEAL (2 STL)25
39.7%
21
60.3%
Q2 - 5:50BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Garnett25
21
Q2 - 5:50INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Price25
21
Q2 - 5:50INDSUB: Collison FOR Hansbrough25
21
Q2 - 5:50INDSUB: Hill FOR George25
21
Q2 - 5:5025
21
Q2 - 5:50BOSBass P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
21
Q2 - 5:58INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q2 - 5:58BOSMISS Bass 18' Jump Shot25
41.5%
21
58.5%
Q2 - 6:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q2 - 6:19INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q2 - 6:29INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
42.0%
21
58.0%
Q2 - 6:30BOSMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot25
41.0%
21
59.0%
Q2 - 6:43INDJones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)25
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q2 - 7:02BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)23
36.0%
21
64.0%
Q2 - 7:10BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q2 - 7:11INDMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot23
41.9%
18
58.1%
Q2 - 7:32INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
44.0%
18
56.0%
Q2 - 7:33BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup23
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q2 - 7:46BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Daniels23
18
Q2 - 7:46INDGeorge P.FOUL (P2.T2)23
18
Q2 - 7:55BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q2 - 7:57INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 223
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q2 - 7:57INDSUB: West FOR Foster23
18
Q2 - 7:57INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q2 - 7:57BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
18
Q2 - 8:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
40.6%
18
59.4%
Q2 - 8:09BOSMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot22
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q2 - 8:21BOSBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q2 - 8:22INDMISS Hansbrough 3' Jump Shot22
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q2 - 8:40BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q2 - 8:40BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q2 - 8:40INDGeorge S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
16
Q2 - 8:57INDFoster 1' Layup (2 PTS)22
43.2%
16
56.8%
Q2 - 9:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
39.9%
16
60.1%
Q2 - 9:01INDMISS Price 18' Jump Shot20
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q2 - 9:21BOSBass 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)20
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q2 - 9:36BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Bradley20
14
Q2 - 9:36BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)20
14
Q2 - 9:43INDHansbrough 2' Layup (6 PTS)20
42.4%
14
57.6%
Q2 - 9:54INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
40.0%
14
60.0%
Q2 - 9:55BOSMISS Daniels 1' Layup18
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q2 - 10:17INDHansbrough 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q2 - 10:38INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
35.1%
14
64.9%
Q2 - 10:39BOSMISS Bradley 3PT Jump Shot16
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q2 - 11:00BOSSUB: Allen FOR Dooling16
14
Q2 - 11:00INDPrice Foul Turnover (P1.T5)16
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q2 - 11:00INDPrice OFF.Foul (P1)16
14
Q2 - 11:08BOSDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
34.8%
14
65.2%
Q2 - 11:08BOSDooling OFF.Foul (P2)16
14
Q2 - 11:18BOSSUB: Bass FOR Wilcox16
14
Q2 - 11:18INDGeorge Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)16
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q2 - 11:24INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.8%
14
65.2%
Q2 - 11:25BOSMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot16
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q2 - 11:47INDGeorge 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Price 1 AST)16
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q2 - 12:0014
14
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS14
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound14
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot14
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
30.0%
14
70.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Bradley 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
28.4%
14
71.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0BOSBradley P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
14
Q1 - 0:49.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 212
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0INDFoster P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
13
Q1 - 1:11INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
26.6%
13
73.4%
Q1 - 1:11INDSUB: Price FOR Collison11
13
Q1 - 1:11BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Bass11
13
Q1 - 1:11BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce11
13
Q1 - 1:11INDPacers Rebound11
13
Q1 - 1:11INDMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 211
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 1:11BOSDooling S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
13
Q1 - 1:24BOSWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 1:40INDHansbrough 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)11
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 2:00INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 2:02BOSMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 2:13INDSUB: Foster FOR Hibbert9
13
Q1 - 2:13BOSSUB: Wilcox FOR O'Neal9
13
Q1 - 2:13BOSSUB: Bradley FOR Rondo9
13
Q1 - 2:13INDHill Foul Turnover (P1.T3)9
21.5%
13
78.5%
Q1 - 2:13INDHill OFF.Foul (P1)9
13
Q1 - 2:17INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 2:17INDO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)9
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 2:27INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 2:29INDMISS Granger 1' Layup9
21.9%
13
78.1%
Q1 - 2:38INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 2:39BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot9
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 3:01INDHansbrough L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)9
13
Q1 - 3:01BOSCELTICS Rebound9
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 3:01INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot9
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 3:14INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
13
Q1 - 3:21BOSO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)9
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 3:34BOSDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.4%
11
75.6%
Q1 - 3:34INDMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 3:39INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
26.2%
11
73.8%
Q1 - 3:41INDBass BLOCK (1 BLK)9
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 4:00BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)9
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 4:06BOSSUB: Dooling FOR Allen9
11
Q1 - 4:06INDGranger P.FOUL (P1.T3)9
11
Q1 - 4:13BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 4:14INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot9
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 4:31INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
26.4%
11
73.6%
Q1 - 4:32BOSMISS Rondo 15' Jump Shot9
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 4:41BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.8%
11
75.2%
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot9
25.3%
11
74.7%
Q1 - 5:07BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 5:07INDSUB: Hansbrough FOR West9
10
Q1 - 5:07BOSCELTICS Rebound9
10
Q1 - 5:07BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 29
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:07INDHibbert S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
10
Q1 - 5:11BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 5:13INDMISS Collison 21' Jump Shot9
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 5:27BOSO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
10
Q1 - 5:37INDGranger Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)9
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 5:37BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )8
10
Q1 - 5:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:44BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup8
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 5:59BOSSUB: Bass FOR Garnett8
10
Q1 - 5:59INDSUB: Hill FOR George8
10
Q1 - 5:59BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
10
Q1 - 5:59INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)8
25.2%
10
74.8%
Q1 - 5:59INDPacers Rebound8
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 5:59INDMISS Collison 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:27BOSRondo 2' Layup (4 PTS)8
26.7%
10
73.3%
Q1 - 6:32BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 6:32INDO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)8
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 6:52INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 6:53BOSMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot8
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 7:09BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot8
28.4%
8
71.6%
Q1 - 7:27BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 7:27BOSJump Ball Pierce vs. Granger: Tip to West8
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:42INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)8
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 8:05BOSGarnett 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)5
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 8:10BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 8:13INDO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)5
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:16INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot5
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:31INDGranger Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)5
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 8:31BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Garnett )4
6
Q1 - 8:41BOSGarnett 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 8:49INDWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 8:58INDGranger Layup (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)4
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 9:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:13BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:23BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.3%
4
72.7%
Q1 - 9:24INDMISS Hibbert 8' Hook Shot2
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 9:37INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 9:38BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup2
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 9:49BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 9:50INDMISS George 12' Jump Shot2
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 10:07BOSRondo 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)2
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 10:14INDRondo STEAL (1 STL)2
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:25BOSAllen 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:39INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:04INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:05BOSMISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:17BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS Hibbert 7' Hook Shot0
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:36INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 11:37BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot0
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball O'Neal vs. Hibbert: Tip to Rondo0
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDBOS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
BOS
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
14
31
45%
BOS
12
22
55%
Midrange
IND
10
35
29%
BOS
9
30
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
BOS
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
IND
15
18
83%
BOS
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger1547%7.5 / 16
D. Collison1450%7.0 / 14
G. Hill1359%6.5 / 11
P. George12100%6.0 / 6
T. Hansbrough1255%6.0 / 11
R. Hibbert1134%5.5 / 16
J. Foster4100%2.0 / 2
D. West220%1.0 / 5
A. Price250%1.0 / 2
D. Jones225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2382%11.5 / 14
K. Garnett1260%6.0 / 10
R. Rondo1139%5.5 / 14
P. Pierce1026%5.0 / 19
B. Bass531%2.5 / 8
J. O'Neal450%2.0 / 4
K. Dooling467%2.0 / 3
A. Bradley450%2.0 / 4
C. Wilcox150%0.5 / 1
M. Daniels0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
74
+17
-11
91
BOS
73
+8
-12
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.96 47.8%
BOS
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
100.6
IND 102.4 +15.3
BOS 87.1
Pace
91.1
90.8
IND 81.4
BOS 89.0 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.8
IND 17.7
BOS 16.2 −1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
49.6%
IND 45.0% +1.8%
BOS 43.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
IND 13.7% −0.8%
BOS 14.5%
ORB %
29.3%
19.9%
IND 34.1% +16.6%
BOS 17.5%
FTrt
32.1
25.7
IND 22.5
BOS 36.4 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
66.5%
IND 53.1%
BOS 61.5% +8.4%
STL %
8.7%
8.3%
IND 9.4% +4.7%
BOS 4.7%
BLK %
8.8%
8.7%
IND 1.9%
BOS 12.1% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
51.8%
IND 47.8% +2.7%
BOS 45.1%
Rim FG%
53.6%
57.7%
IND 45.2%
BOS 54.5% +9.3%
Mid FG%
38.3%
41.9%
IND 28.6%
BOS 30.0% +1.4%
3P %
36.8%
36.7%
IND 57.1% +21.4%
BOS 35.7%
FT %
78.3%
77.8%
IND 83.3% +12.5%
BOS 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
32.5%
IND 38.8% +5.4%
BOS 33.3%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
48.0%
IND 43.8% −1.7%
BOS 45.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.4%
IND 17.5%
BOS 21.2% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDBOS
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points8774
Rebounds4836
Assists1716
Steals84
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)11 (3)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals32-8026-66
At-the-Rim FG14-3112-22
Midrange FG10-359-30
2-Point FG24-6621-52
3-Point FG8-145-14
Free Throws15-1817-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 29
36.1
15
47%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
1-9
11%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
34.0
14
50%
2
4
1
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-11
36%
2-3
67%
C · 7'2" 270 · 25
31.0
11
34%
12
3
1
0
1
3
4
8
1-1
100%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
26.7
2
20%
10
3
0
1
2
2
4
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 22
23.3
12
100%
3
2
1
0
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
24.7
13
59%
6
0
2
0
1
3
1
5
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-3
67%
· 6'9" 250 · 26
23.4
12
55%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
4-6
67%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
14.8
4
100%
4
2
0
0
0
4
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
13.9
2
50%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
11.9
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
G · 6'6" 230 · 21
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
48%
48
17
8
1
11
0
15
33
15-18
83%
24-66
36%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.