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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bulls45%9297
4Magic55%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
41.2
38.3
21
59%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
2-3
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
39.4
37.1
21
50%
8
10
2
1
1
4
1
7
6-7
86%
6-15
6-12
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.1
36.7
27.4
20
50%
13
2
0
1
1
2
5
8
2-2
100%
9-19
5-10
47%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.9
32.7
26.5
4
22%
10
3
2
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.8
23.6
20.5
2
17%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.8
31.2
16.7
18
101%
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
5-7
71%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
17.7
20.4
7
51%
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.1
8.9
6.3
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
8.6
18.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.9
19.7
0
3-7
44%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
6.4
0
1-2
42%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
1.8
0
0-0
39%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.3
1.8
0
0-0
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
41.3
37.7
28
63%
15
2
2
1
2
4
4
11
6-10
60%
11-18
7-12
61%
57%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.8
39.3
29.6
12
55%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
36.4
26.1
17
61%
3
2
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.9
31.7
29.2
9
46%
1
2
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.7
25.0
29.3
5
25%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-7
14%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.0
27.6
22.8
8
41%
10
0
2
1
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
43%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.5
22.5
25.2
1
11%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.3
16.3
16.9
3
52%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 33.0
4.6
0
0-1
37%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.5
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.4
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.7
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.