Final Win Prob. pScore
770%102
96
2730%95
88
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
109.18890.8
Hornets
101.18784.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN96
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)96
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENVasquez STEAL (2 STL)96
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0NOHSmith 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (C. Johnson 1 AST)96
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)96
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHJohnson Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)95
84
Q4 - 0:54.0DENGallinari 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS)95
84
Q4 - 1:12NOHSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)93
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30NOHSUB: C. Johnson FOR Jack92
82
Q4 - 1:30NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor92
82
Q4 - 1:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 1:30NOHJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
82
Q4 - 1:40NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 1:40NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 1:40DENKoufos S.FOUL (P2.T4)91
80
Q4 - 1:40NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 1:41NOHMISS Landry 4' Jump Shot91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 1:50NOHJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 1:51DENMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 2:08DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 2:10NOHMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 2:12NOHHORNETS Rebound91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 2:13NOHMISS Okafor 8' Jump Shot91
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 2:39DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 2:39DENKoufos 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 2:41DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot89
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 3:05NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 3:05NOHLandry 5' Tip Shot (13 PTS)89
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 3:07NOHMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 3:18NOHSUB: Johnson FOR Belinelli89
78
Q4 - 3:18NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)89
78
Q4 - 3:18DENKoufos 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)89
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 3:30NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)87
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 3:30DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T3)87
77
Q4 - 3:30NOHLandry 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
77
Q4 - 3:54DENAfflalo 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)87
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 4:01NOHVasquez 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)85
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 4:27DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)85
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 4:46DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 4:47NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 4:47NOHMISS Landry 3' Tip Shot82
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 4:48NOHMISS Okafor 13' Jump Bank Shot82
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 5:00DENJack STEAL (1 STL)82
98.1%
73
1.9%
Q4 - 5:18DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 5:19NOHMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
97.7%
73
2.3%
Q4 - 5:34DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)82
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 5:34DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
96.9%
73
3.1%
Q4 - 5:3480
73
Q4 - 5:34NOHLandry P.FOUL (P4.PN)80
73
Q4 - 5:47DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
96.0%
73
4.0%
Q4 - 5:48NOHMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
95.6%
73
4.4%
Q4 - 6:07DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)80
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 6:14DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Fernandez78
73
Q4 - 6:14DENNuggets Rebound78
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q4 - 6:15DENOkafor BLOCK (4 BLK)78
89.5%
73
10.5%
Q4 - 6:31NOHVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)78
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q4 - 6:58DENFernandez 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)78
95.1%
70
4.9%
Q4 - 7:01DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q4 - 7:02NOHMISS Vasquez 6' Jump Shot76
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 7:19DENSUB: Gallinari FOR Harrington76
70
Q4 - 7:19DENLawson P.FOUL (P2.T2)76
70
Q4 - 7:21NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q4 - 7:22DENVasquez BLOCK (1 BLK)76
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q4 - 7:36NOHOkafor 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)76
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q4 - 7:49NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
94.4%
68
5.6%
Q4 - 7:49DENMISS Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 276
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q4 - 7:49DENFernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q4 - 7:49NOHBelinelli S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
68
Q4 - 8:07NOHVasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)75
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q4 - 8:27DENHarrington 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)75
96.2%
65
3.8%
Q4 - 8:44NOHOkafor 3' Putback Layup (5 PTS)73
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q4 - 8:44NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q4 - 8:45NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
96.8%
63
3.2%
Q4 - 9:05NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
95.5%
63
4.5%
Q4 - 9:06DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 273
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q4 - 9:06DENNuggets Rebound73
63
Q4 - 9:06DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 273
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q4 - 9:06NOHVasquez Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)73
63
Q4 - 9:18DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q4 - 9:19NOHMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot73
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q4 - 9:26DENKoufos P.FOUL (P1.T1)73
63
Q4 - 9:37DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
95.6%
63
4.4%
Q4 - 9:37NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Aminu72
63
Q4 - 9:37DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
95.4%
63
4.6%
Q4 - 9:37NOHJack S.FOUL (P3.T3)71
63
Q4 - 9:56NOHJack P.FOUL (P2.T2)71
63
Q4 - 9:56NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)71
94.4%
63
5.6%
Q4 - 10:07NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Kaman71
63
Q4 - 10:07NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)71
63
Q4 - 10:07DENFernandez 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)71
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q4 - 10:12NOHKaman Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)69
90.5%
63
9.5%
Q4 - 10:30DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)69
88.5%
63
11.5%
Q4 - 10:30NOHAminu S.FOUL (P3.T1)68
63
Q4 - 10:30DENMiller 3' Layup (10 PTS)68
63
Q4 - 10:44NOHKaman Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)66
83.0%
63
17.0%
Q4 - 10:50NOHSUB: Jack FOR Vasquez66
63
Q4 - 10:50DENSUB: Lawson FOR Gallinari66
63
Q4 - 10:57DENKoufos 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)66
79.6%
63
20.4%
Q4 - 11:21NOHLandry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)64
75.2%
63
24.8%
Q4 - 11:43DENMiller 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
71.1%
63
28.9%
Q4 - 12:0062
63
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH62
66.4%
63
33.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound62
61.6%
63
38.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Belinelli 44' 3PT Jump Shot62
64.9%
63
35.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)62
62.5%
63
37.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
63.8%
63
36.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENSUB: Fernandez FOR Afflalo62
63
Q3 - 0:18.0NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T13)62
66.7%
63
33.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P2)62
63
Q3 - 0:33.0DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)62
62.4%
63
37.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
52.0%
63
48.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot59
50.6%
63
49.4%
Q3 - 1:10DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)59
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 1:10NOHLandry S.FOUL (P3.T3)58
63
Q3 - 1:10DENAfflalo 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Gallinari 6 AST)58
63
Q3 - 1:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 1:16NOHMISS Landry 17' Jump Shot56
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q3 - 1:32NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)56
34.3%
63
65.7%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
35.6%
63
64.4%
Q3 - 1:49NOHSUB: Kaman FOR Jack56
63
Q3 - 1:49NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Okafor56
63
Q3 - 1:49DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)56
63
Q3 - 1:49NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T12)56
38.5%
63
61.5%
Q3 - 1:49NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P1)56
63
Q3 - 2:06DENGallinari 1' Dunk (17 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)56
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 2:15NOHLandry 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 2:40DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 2:40DENKoufos 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)54
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 2:41DENMISS Miller 3' Jump Shot52
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 3:00NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 3:14DENSUB: Koufos FOR Nene52
59
Q3 - 3:14DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T11)52
38.3%
59
61.7%
Q3 - 3:14DENNene OFF.Foul (P2)52
59
Q3 - 3:28NOHSmith 2' Layup (4 PTS)52
42.7%
59
57.3%
Q3 - 3:48NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Belinelli52
57
Q3 - 3:48DENMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)52
46.8%
57
53.2%
Q3 - 4:08DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
52.6%
57
47.4%
Q3 - 4:10NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot52
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 4:21NOHHORNETS Rebound52
47.5%
57
52.5%
Q3 - 4:22NOHMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot52
51.1%
57
48.9%
Q3 - 4:41DENSUB: Miller FOR Lawson52
57
Q3 - 4:41DENSUB: Harrington FOR Mozgov52
57
Q3 - 4:41NOHSUB: Landry FOR Aminu52
57
Q3 - 4:41NOHSUB: Smith FOR Kaman52
57
Q3 - 4:41NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
57
Q3 - 4:42DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
47.5%
57
52.5%
Q3 - 4:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
43.9%
57
56.1%
Q3 - 4:54DENMISS Nene 3' Layup50
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q3 - 5:20NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)50
44.8%
57
55.2%
Q3 - 5:42DENNene 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Gallinari 5 AST)50
52.7%
54
47.3%
Q3 - 6:03NOHJack 6' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 6:26NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
54.1%
52
45.9%
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Gallinari 30' 3PT Jump Shot48
55.4%
52
44.6%
Q3 - 6:56NOHJack 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 7:11NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)48
62.2%
50
37.8%
Q3 - 7:13DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 7:16DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q3 - 7:18DENMISS Mozgov 3' Tip Shot48
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 7:18DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q3 - 7:20DENMISS Nene 3' Jump Shot48
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 7:31DENLawson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q3 - 7:31DENLawson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
65.2%
50
34.8%
Q3 - 7:31NOHJack FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T2)46
50
Q3 - 7:31DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 7:33NOHMISS Aminu 6' Jump Shot46
57.5%
50
42.5%
Q3 - 7:46NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)46
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q3 - 7:47DENKaman BLOCK (1 BLK)46
55.9%
50
44.1%
Q3 - 7:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 8:00NOHMISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.5%
50
42.5%
Q3 - 8:16NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
55.4%
50
44.6%
Q3 - 8:18DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 246
55.9%
50
44.1%
Q3 - 8:18DENNuggets Rebound46
50
Q3 - 8:18DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 246
58.1%
50
41.9%
Q3 - 8:18NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P3.T1)46
50
Q3 - 8:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q3 - 8:28NOHMISS Aminu 10' Jump Shot46
58.1%
50
41.9%
Q3 - 8:45DENAfflalo 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Gallinari 4 AST)46
55.3%
50
44.7%
Q3 - 8:49NOHKaman Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)44
51.8%
50
48.2%
Q3 - 9:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
47.8%
50
52.2%
Q3 - 9:03NOHMISS Kaman 16' Fadeaway Jumper44
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q3 - 9:25NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q3 - 9:25DENOkafor BLOCK (3 BLK)44
50.0%
50
50.0%
Q3 - 9:33DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q3 - 9:34NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 244
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q3 - 9:34NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 9:34DENMozgov S.FOUL (P1.T1)44
49
Q3 - 9:54DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)44
52.5%
49
47.5%
Q3 - 10:11NOHJack Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)41
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q3 - 10:19NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q3 - 10:20DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot41
44.3%
49
55.7%
Q3 - 10:33NOHJack 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Belinelli 4 AST)41
46.9%
49
53.1%
Q3 - 10:53NOHHORNETS Rebound41
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q3 - 10:55DENMISS Mozgov 1' Dunk41
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q3 - 10:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
53.9%
47
46.1%
Q3 - 11:00NOHMISS Belinelli 15' Jump Shot41
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q3 - 11:20DENLawson Foul Turnover (P4.T9)41
51.8%
47
48.2%
Q3 - 11:20DENLawson OFF.Foul (P1)41
47
Q3 - 11:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
55.4%
47
44.6%
Q3 - 11:32NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup41
54.3%
47
45.7%
Q3 - 11:45NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q3 - 11:47NOHMISS Kaman 18' Jump Shot41
54.3%
47
45.7%
Q3 - 12:0041
47
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN41
51.7%
47
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound41
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot41
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Kaman41
47
Q2 - 0:14.0DENSUB: Fernandez FOR Gallinari41
47
Q2 - 0:14.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Koufos41
47
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMiller Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
55.9%
47
44.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMiller Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
55.3%
47
44.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0NOH39
47
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHKaman C.P.FOUL (P1.T3)39
47
Q2 - 0:14.0NOHJack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)39
49.3%
47
50.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
47.5%
47
52.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot39
48.5%
47
51.5%
Q2 - 1:06DENGallinari 5' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)39
47.8%
47
52.2%
Q2 - 1:20NOHSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS)37
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q2 - 1:40DENMiller 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 1:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q2 - 1:44DENMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot35
42.0%
45
58.0%
Q2 - 2:08DENSUB: Koufos FOR Lawson35
45
Q2 - 2:08DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
45
Q2 - 2:08NOHBelinelli Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)35
45.3%
45
54.7%
Q2 - 2:26DENBelinelli STEAL (2 STL)35
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 2:36DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 2:37DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot35
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 2:50NOHKaman 3' Layup (6 PTS)35
45.1%
45
54.9%
Q2 - 3:02DENHarrington P.FOUL (P2.T4)35
43
Q2 - 3:18DENHarrington 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)35
49.4%
43
50.6%
Q2 - 3:32NOHSUB: Jack FOR Vasquez33
43
Q2 - 3:32NOHAminu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)33
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 3:35NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)33
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 3:37DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup33
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q2 - 3:43NOHKaman Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
46.8%
43
53.2%
Q2 - 3:56DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
43.2%
43
56.8%
Q2 - 3:56DENSUB: Harrington FOR Nene32
43
Q2 - 3:56DENSUB: Miller FOR Fernandez32
43
Q2 - 3:56NOHVasquez S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
43
Q2 - 3:56DENGallinari 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
43
Q2 - 4:08NOHVasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 4:27NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
44.4%
40
55.6%
Q2 - 4:28DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup30
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 4:46NOHAminu 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)30
47.6%
40
52.4%
Q2 - 5:05DENNene 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)30
51.7%
38
48.3%
Q2 - 5:15DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 5:16NOHMISS Kaman 18' Jump Shot28
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 5:25DENNene P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
38
Q2 - 5:30NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 5:52DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 5:53NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot28
47.7%
38
52.3%
Q2 - 6:04NOHSUB: Aminu FOR Jack28
38
Q2 - 6:04NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
38
Q2 - 6:11DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
46.6%
38
53.4%
Q2 - 6:22NOHSUB: Kaman FOR Okafor26
38
Q2 - 6:22NOHOkafor Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
44.3%
38
55.7%
Q2 - 6:22NOHOkafor OFF.Foul (P2)26
38
Q2 - 6:37DENOkafor STEAL (2 STL)26
41.0%
38
59.0%
Q2 - 6:43DENNuggets Rebound26
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 6:44NOHMISS Jack 2' Layup26
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 6:49DENVasquez STEAL (1 STL)26
41.0%
38
59.0%
Q2 - 6:53DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
44.2%
38
55.8%
Q2 - 6:54NOHMISS Okafor 11' Jump Shot26
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 7:10NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Johnson26
38
Q2 - 7:10NOHHORNETS Rebound26
42.6%
38
57.4%
Q2 - 7:12DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 7:37NOHOkafor 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)26
45.5%
38
54.5%
Q2 - 7:50DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Miller26
36
Q2 - 7:50DENGallinari Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)26
36
Q2 - 7:55NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
47.8%
36
52.2%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.8%
36
51.2%
Q2 - 8:03NOHVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
52.0%
36
48.0%
Q2 - 8:14NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 8:15DENMISS Lawson 3' Jump Shot26
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 8:21NOHJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 8:34DENSUB: Gallinari FOR Harrington26
36
Q2 - 8:3426
36
Q2 - 8:34NOHHORNETS Rebound26
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 8:36DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot26
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 8:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
51.9%
36
48.1%
Q2 - 8:43NOHMISS Vasquez 18' Jump Shot26
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 9:09DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 9:21NOHSUB: Smith FOR Landry26
36
Q2 - 9:21NOHJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
36
Q2 - 9:27NOHLandry Foul Turnover (P2.T2)26
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 9:27NOHLandry OFF.Foul (P2)26
36
Q2 - 9:43NOHSUB: Johnson FOR Belinelli26
36
Q2 - 9:43DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)26
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 9:43DENNuggets Rebound26
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 9:44DENMISS Miller 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
50.8%
36
49.2%
Q2 - 10:07NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 10:07NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith26
35
Q2 - 10:07DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen26
35
Q2 - 10:07NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q2 - 10:07DENAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
34
Q2 - 10:11NOHJack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
55.1%
34
44.9%
Q2 - 10:12DENSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)26
56.0%
34
44.0%
Q2 - 10:17DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 10:18NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
57.1%
34
42.9%
Q2 - 10:25NOHJack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 10:27NOHMISS Landry 12' Jump Shot26
57.1%
34
42.9%
Q2 - 10:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 10:45DENAndersen 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q2 - 10:46DENLandry BLOCK (1 BLK)24
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q2 - 11:01DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
53.1%
34
46.9%
Q2 - 11:02NOHMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q2 - 11:18NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot24
51.3%
34
48.7%
Q2 - 11:44NOHLandry 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)24
53.1%
34
46.9%
Q2 - 12:0024
32
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH24
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMiller 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)24
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0NOHLandry 1' Reverse Slam Dunk (2 PTS)22
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot22
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOHVasquez 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)22
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q1 - 1:06NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q1 - 1:07DENSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)22
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q1 - 1:14NOHBelinelli 7' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)22
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q1 - 1:26NOHSUB: Jack FOR Kaman22
25
Q1 - 1:26DENSUB: Lawson FOR Gallinari22
25
Q1 - 1:26NOHHORNETS Rebound22
68.2%
25
31.8%
Q1 - 1:26DENMISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
68.6%
25
31.4%
Q1 - 1:50NOHVasquez 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
69.6%
25
30.4%
Q1 - 2:05NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q1 - 2:07DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
72.6%
23
27.4%
Q1 - 2:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
73.8%
23
26.2%
Q1 - 2:21NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot22
73.3%
23
26.7%
Q1 - 2:34DENHarrington 2' Layup (7 PTS)22
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q1 - 2:46NOHSUB: Vasquez FOR Jack20
23
Q1 - 2:46DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene20
23
Q1 - 2:46DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
23
Q1 - 2:46NOHLandry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)20
70.1%
23
29.9%
Q1 - 2:46NOHLandry Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)20
23
Q1 - 3:02DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)20
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q1 - 3:22NOHJack 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)17
64.8%
23
35.2%
Q1 - 3:34NOHJack Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)17
66.7%
21
33.3%
Q1 - 3:34DENSUB: Fernandez FOR Afflalo17
20
Q1 - 3:34DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Afflalo )17
20
Q1 - 3:43NOHHORNETS Rebound17
68.7%
20
31.3%
Q1 - 3:43NOHMISS Landry 2' Layup17
70.1%
20
29.9%
Q1 - 3:50NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
68.7%
20
31.3%
Q1 - 3:53DENMISS Gallinari 3' Layup17
69.3%
20
30.7%
Q1 - 4:03NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor17
20
Q1 - 4:13DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
70.9%
20
29.1%
Q1 - 4:14NOHMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 217
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q1 - 4:14NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
69.4%
20
30.6%
Q1 - 4:14DENHarrington S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
19
Q1 - 4:17DENOkafor STEAL (1 STL)17
70.8%
19
29.2%
Q1 - 4:22DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
72.6%
19
27.4%
Q1 - 4:23NOHMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
72.0%
19
28.0%
Q1 - 4:41DENGallinari Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)17
70.8%
19
29.2%
Q1 - 4:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q1 - 4:45NOHMISS Kaman 8' Hook Shot15
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 5:04DENHarrington 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)15
67.3%
19
32.7%
Q1 - 5:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
65.9%
19
34.1%
Q1 - 5:24NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot13
65.3%
19
34.7%
Q1 - 5:38NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
64.0%
19
36.0%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot13
64.6%
19
35.4%
Q1 - 5:59NOHKaman 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)13
66.0%
19
34.0%
Q1 - 6:08DENGallinari P.FOUL (P1.T1)13
17
Q1 - 6:16NOHSUB: Landry FOR Aminu13
17
Q1 - 6:16DENSUB: Harrington FOR Mozgov13
17
Q1 - 6:16NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
17
Q1 - 6:21DENGallinari 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)13
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q1 - 6:28DENSUB: Miller FOR Lawson11
17
Q1 - 6:28NOHAminu P.FOUL (P2.T4)11
17
Q1 - 6:36DENNuggets Rebound11
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q1 - 6:37NOHMISS Jack 9' Jump Shot11
66.0%
17
34.0%
Q1 - 6:44NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
64.9%
17
35.1%
Q1 - 6:46DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
65.4%
17
34.6%
Q1 - 6:57NOHKaman 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)11
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 7:23DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
68.5%
15
31.5%
Q1 - 7:23DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
68.2%
15
31.8%
Q1 - 7:23NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T3)9
15
Q1 - 7:35NOHAminu P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
15
Q1 - 7:41DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 7:42NOHMISS Kaman 9' Jump Shot9
66.9%
15
33.1%
Q1 - 8:00DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)9
66.0%
15
34.0%
Q1 - 8:09NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
15
Q1 - 8:24NOHJack 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
65.6%
15
34.4%
Q1 - 8:28NOHJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 8:29NOHMISS Okafor 3' Jump Shot7
68.9%
12
31.1%
Q1 - 8:49DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)7
68.2%
12
31.8%
Q1 - 9:10NOHAminu 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Kaman 2 AST)4
66.8%
12
33.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENAfflalo 2' Layup (4 PTS)4
68.0%
10
32.0%
Q1 - 9:41NOHBelinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)2
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 9:51DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
69.0%
7
31.0%
Q1 - 9:59DENNuggets Rebound0
68.3%
7
31.7%
Q1 - 9:59DENOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)0
67.7%
7
32.3%
Q1 - 10:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
68.8%
7
31.2%
Q1 - 10:15NOHMISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot0
68.5%
7
31.5%
Q1 - 10:22NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 10:23DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
68.3%
7
31.7%
Q1 - 10:40NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)0
69.0%
7
31.0%
Q1 - 10:58NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 11:00DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot0
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 11:02DENNuggets Rebound0
70.7%
4
29.3%
Q1 - 11:02DENOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)0
70.4%
4
29.6%
Q1 - 11:08NOHBelinelli 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 11:13DENBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)0
70.9%
2
29.1%
Q1 - 11:33NOHAminu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)0
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 11:50DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
70.5%
0
29.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Mozgov: Tip to Lawson0
70.2%
0
29.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.9%
NOH
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
25
43
58%
NOH
14
20
70%
Midrange
DEN
7
15
47%
NOH
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
NOH
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
DEN
17
22
77%
NOH
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2368%11.5 / 17
A. Harrington1464%7.0 / 11
A. Afflalo1359%6.5 / 11
A. Miller1359%6.5 / 11
T. Lawson1240%6.0 / 15
K. Koufos8100%4.0 / 4
Nene633%3.0 / 9
R. Fernandez550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
T. Mozgov0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vasquez1673%8.0 / 11
J. Jack1554%7.5 / 14
C. Landry1558%7.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1350%6.5 / 13
J. Smith867%4.0 / 6
E. Okafor739%3.5 / 9
C. Kaman633%3.0 / 9
A. Aminu660%3.0 / 5
T. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
76
+13
-12
89
NOH
70
+12
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.9%
NOH
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
100.9
DEN 109.1 +7.9
NOH 101.1
Pace
94.1
88.4
DEN 90.8 +6.5
NOH 84.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.4
DEN 15.9 −1.2
NOH 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
47.6%
DEN 50.0%
NOH 51.9% +1.9%
TO %
15.7%
16.5%
DEN 12.8% −4.5%
NOH 17.3%
ORB %
27.7%
27.6%
DEN 22.2% +0.6%
NOH 21.6%
FTrt
32.6
27.4
DEN 27.8 +14.8
NOH 13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
59.5%
DEN 64.9% +12.1%
NOH 52.8%
STL %
8.6%
8.3%
DEN 9.1% +1.1%
NOH 8.0%
BLK %
8.1%
8.2%
DEN 10.0%
NOH 15.5% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
50.1%
DEN 53.9% +0.9%
NOH 53.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.0%
DEN 58.1%
NOH 70.0% +11.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.6%
DEN 46.7% +11.7%
NOH 35.0%
3P %
33.2%
33.3%
DEN 23.8%
NOH 47.1% +23.3%
FT %
73.6%
75.7%
DEN 77.3%
NOH 80.0% +2.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
36.3%
DEN 54.4% +28.5%
NOH 26.0%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
48.5%
DEN 19.0% −33.0%
NOH 51.9%
3P Att. %
24.3%
15.2%
DEN 26.6% +4.5%
NOH 22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENNOH
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes23.324.8
Points9688
Rebounds3736
Assists2419
Steals87
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (4)
Field Goals37-7936-77
At-the-Rim FG25-4314-20
Midrange FG7-1514-40
2-Point FG32-5828-60
3-Point FG5-218-17
Free Throws17-228-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
39.4
23
68%
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
3-9
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
35.2
12
40%
0
8
0
0
5
2
0
0
6-6
100%
3-11
27%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
34.2
13
59%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
6-7
86%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
24.2
6
33%
8
2
2
0
2
2
1
7
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 275 · 25
13.1
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
31.3
13
59%
4
4
1
1
3
0
1
3
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
23.0
14
64%
6
1
3
0
1
2
1
5
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
2-3
67%
· 6'6" 185 · 27
17.9
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
17.1
8
100%
5
0
0
3
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
4.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
#1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
54%
37
24
8
6
12
0
8
29
17-22
77%
32-58
55%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.