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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Trail Blazers51%10277
15Suns49%101102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
30.1
36.4
14
44%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
2-4
50%
6-14
8-17
43%
49%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.5
27.7
36.3
9
51%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
45%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
23.7
31.8
8
75%
1
0
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
23.4
21.6
3
26%
11
2
0
1
0
1
7
4
1-2
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
22.6
33.8
1
7%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
29.1
22.4
12
38%
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
4-6
67%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
21.2
23.5
10
33%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-11
3-7
18%
45%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
16.0
9.2
2
114%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
13.6
18.4
4
67%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.4
13.6
2.2
6
51%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
10.2
1.2
4
32%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-3
0%
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
8.8
2.1
4
72%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.5
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
29.9
33.3
18
68%
1
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
4-5
80%
7-8
3-7
88%
49%
0-3
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
28.4
31.2
17
114%
2
9
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
51%
2-2
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
25.6
27.9
12
75%
8
0
1
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
6-8
5-9
75%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
23.4
28.5
6
39%
2
1
1
1
3
2
1
1
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
16.8
23.4
4
34%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.3
31.2
19.3
13
50%
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
48%
3-4
75%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
24.2
19.6
12
56%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
18.4
16.4
14
51%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
18.4
14.5
5
46%
12
1
1
0
1
4
3
9
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
16.9
11.6
1
13%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
6.8
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.5
6.0
0
1-1
57%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.