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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bulls54%9294
12Hawks46%90109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
29.7
39.0
8
31%
3
2
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-13
5-9
31%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
28.2
37.7
8
37%
4
6
1
1
0
5
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.1
21.7
30.6
12
55%
5
0
0
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.8
19.0
21.6
3
75%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.9
17.4
28.8
1
10%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 30.8
35.3
22.2
13
64%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-5
80%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
28.8
19.5
11
62%
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
47%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.5
20.4
14.8
8
47%
13
0
2
0
0
1
5
8
0-1
0%
4-8
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.1
19.8
7.5
16
62%
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.3
12.0
1.5
12
106%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
3-3
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
7.8
1.6
2
33%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.9
14.6
0
2-5
44%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.7
5.3
0
1-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
34.2
32.8
25
70%
5
5
4
1
6
1
1
4
2-2
100%
10-16
5-12
63%
47%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
31.5
36.7
17
59%
4
5
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
46%
2-2
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
30.1
34.1
12
75%
2
8
5
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
44%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
23.6
34.5
14
88%
7
4
1
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-8
5-9
88%
52%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
6.0
26.4
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
27.8
14.9
17
108%
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
5-5
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
19.8
11.2
6
60%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
19.7
12.1
10
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
17.9
11.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.7
12.2
8.7
3
28%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
8.1
20.8
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
4.7
2.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
4.7
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.