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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat76%100101
24Nets24%9190
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
37.4
25.3
32
72%
7
9
2
1
1
8
0
7
10-12
83%
11-16
6-10
69%
56%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.8
36.7
33.4
16
51%
5
2
1
1
2
2
2
3
4-4
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.4
19.7
20.9
2
53%
4
0
2
0
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.3
19.0
18.7
8
67%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
2-5
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
18.4
30.0
7
72%
4
7
2
2
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.6
31.0
28.5
12
51%
12
1
0
1
1
3
1
11
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
49%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
30.5
19.1
9
35%
3
6
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
24.7
24.7
8
100%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
14.0
14.4
4
40%
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.8
7.3
7.1
3
80%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
1.2
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.0
18.2
1
4-7
53%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.9
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
39.4
32.1
25
48%
12
1
3
1
1
4
5
7
9-11
82%
8-21
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
38.7
28.8
10
30%
3
10
1
1
0
5
1
2
0-2
0%
2-9
4-8
22%
47%
2-7
29%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
28.2
25.8
11
55%
4
4
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
3-7
43%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.8
25.3
20.6
6
50%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
2-6
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.9
3.8
15.7
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
30.7
20.9
8
56%
13
0
1
1
1
4
6
7
4-5
80%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
24.0
17.8
12
65%
2
0
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.1
16.8
15.6
8
51%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-3
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.9
14.6
15.6
4
37%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-5
20%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.7
9.3
16.6
6
52%
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.2
8.0
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Dennis Horner
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
1.2
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
22.3
1
2-5
43%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.8
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.