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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Knicks58%101103
26Pistons42%9980
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
31.1
34.9
13
44%
4
7
1
1
3
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
7-14
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.3
28.8
34.7
10
85%
9
1
3
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
61%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
28.3
24.2
8
45%
5
2
2
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.1
28.2
32.6
22
59%
8
4
2
1
0
2
2
6
6-8
75%
8-13
7-13
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.5
27.6
31.2
11
55%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 22.9
26.8
17.6
11
50%
7
1
2
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.2
19.2
20.7
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.7
15.4
15.2
16
118%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
4-4
100%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
12.7
5.7
6
60%
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
8.3
5.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.8
5.7
25.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.3
4.0
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
4.0
1.3
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.7
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
39.9
27.8
19
50%
6
4
3
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
5-13
38%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
31.8
20.4
12
48%
3
3
1
0
0
9
0
3
0-1
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
30.5
31.8
15
59%
5
1
0
1
0
3
3
2
1-4
25%
7-11
6-10
64%
55%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
22.5
33.0
4
29%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
5-10
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
21.7
30.9
4
29%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-3
4-7
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
25.5
19.5
7
60%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
24.4
17.7
4
19%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
1-8
3-6
13%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
24.0
16.7
11
78%
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
7-7
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
14.1
11.6
4
33%
3
1
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
5.6
2.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.7
17.5
1
2-5
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
13.5
0
1-3
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
4.3
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.