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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors24%9362
1176ers76%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
32.7
35.3
7
35%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.2
32.2
34.7
21
49%
11
1
1
0
0
1
3
8
4-6
67%
7-15
6-12
47%
46%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
31.8
25.5
12
55%
14
0
0
1
0
3
6
8
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
55%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
31.5
31.2
8
31%
1
2
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.6
19.0
20.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
30.4
20.4
7
28%
7
2
0
1
3
1
3
4
1-3
33%
3-11
2-5
27%
44%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
21.2
21.3
2
33%
3
0
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.6
15.3
9.9
2
20%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.1
13.0
17.4
3
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-1
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
8.1
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
4.8
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
4.4
0
1-1
43%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.1
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.0
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.9
32.4
31.8
14
48%
10
2
1
1
2
1
0
10
6-6
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
50%
2-5
40%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
28.6
23.3
7
29%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
1-6
17%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.6
26.5
35.5
14
70%
3
6
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.8
24.5
29.5
10
65%
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
4-6
67%
3-5
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.7
16.5
31.1
7
60%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
5-9
60%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
26.8
26.1
9
51%
7
3
1
1
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
25.8
24.7
13
45%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
24.6
26.9
12
61%
4
1
3
1
2
0
2
2
2-4
50%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.2
19.7
5.0
9
57%
10
2
1
0
2
0
6
4
1-2
50%
4-7
1-1
57%
53%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.1
7.9
4.6
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
4.5
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
2.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.