Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	48%	101	117	120.6	97	108.8
	14	Spurs	52%	102	121	124.7	97	87.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	40.9	12	75%	2	3	2	1	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	39.5	31	74%	5	2	2	0	1	2	2	3	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.8	20	53%	3	10	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	18.3	4	100%	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos F · 7'0" 265 · 23	6.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	28.9	11	61%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	25.9	19	73%	3	1	0	0	4	3	1	2	4-7	57%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	25.8	8	36%	6	6	1	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	12.2	11	79%	5	0	2	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	4.9	1	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	33	25	9	4	14	0	10	23	17-26	65%	38-65	58%	8-16	50%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	40.9	12	75%	2	3	2	1	3	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 23	39.5	31	74%	5	2	2	0	1	2	2	3	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	3-4	75%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.8	20	53%	3	10	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 25	18.3	4	100%	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos F · 7'0" 265 · 23	6.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	28.9	11	61%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	25.9	19	73%	3	1	0	0	4	3	1	2	4-7	57%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	25.8	8	36%	6	6	1	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	12.2	11	79%	5	0	2	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	4.9	1	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Hamilton #1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	33	25	9	4	14	0	10	23	17-26	65%	38-65	58%	8-16	50%

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14 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	32.7	19	79%	0	3	1	1	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	32.2	19	53%	2	6	1	0	4	3	2	0	3-5	60%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 23	30.2	10	50%	10	1	1	0	0	3	7	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 27	21.0	10	45%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 36	19.8	10	56%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Danny Green G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25	33.5	24	86%	7	2	2	2	2	2	1	6	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	3-4	75%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 29	21.4	8	50%	3	7	0	2	2	4	1	2	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	19.8	6	75%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27	18.5	10	83%	5	1	0	0	2	3	2	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32	6.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23	4.1	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Cory Joseph #5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	60%	38	27	6	5	15	0	15	23	14-18	78%	40-69	58%	9-20	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.23 61.6%

SAS

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

27

41

66%

SAS

24

33

73%

Midrange

DEN

11

24

46%

SAS

16

36

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

16

50%

75%

SAS

9

13.5

20

45%

68%

Free Throws

DEN

17

26

65%

SAS

14

18

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	31	74%	15.5 / 21
T. Lawson	20	53%	10.0 / 19
A. Harrington	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Afflalo	12	75%	6.0 / 8
R. Fernandez	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Brewer	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Miller	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. Mozgov	4	100%	2.0 / 2
C. Andersen	1	50%	0.5 / 1
K. Koufos	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Green	24	86%	12.0 / 14
R. Jefferson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
T. Parker	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Blair	10	50%	5.0 / 10
G. Neal	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Duncan	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Splitter	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Ford	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Leonard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Anderson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Bonner	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 1 110.9	DEN 120.6 SAS 124.7 +4.1
Pace	2 94.1 7 93.0	DEN 108.8 +21.3 SAS 87.5
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 20 15.5	DEN 13.2 −3.2 SAS 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 1 52.8%	DEN 61.7% +1.6% SAS 60.1%
TO %	20 15.7% 3 14.1%	DEN 14.0% −0.2% SAS 14.2%
ORB %	13 27.7% 24 25.1%	DEN 30.3% SAS 39.5% +9.2%
FTrt	2 32.6 20 26.1	DEN 32.1 +11.9 SAS 20.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 13 58.5%	DEN 54.3% SAS 55.1% +0.8%
STL %	15 8.6% 21 8.0%	DEN 9.3% +3.1% SAS 6.2%
BLK %	16 8.1% 27 6.7%	DEN 5.8% SAS 7.7% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 2 54.9%	DEN 61.6% +1.7% SAS 59.9%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 5 60.6%	DEN 65.9% SAS 72.7% +6.8%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 2 41.4%	DEN 45.8% +1.4% SAS 44.4%
3P %	24 33.2% 1 39.3%	DEN 50.0% +5.0% SAS 45.0%
FT %	24 73.6% 19 74.8%	DEN 65.4% SAS 77.8% +12.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 18 36.1%	DEN 50.6% +13.5% SAS 37.1%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 9 38.2%	DEN 29.6% −10.8% SAS 40.4%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 7 25.7%	DEN 19.8% SAS 22.5% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	21.4	26.6
Points	117	121
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	25	27
Steals	9	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	23 (2)
Field Goals	46-81	49-89
At-the-Rim FG	27-41	24-33
Midrange FG	11-24	16-36
2-Point FG	38-65	40-69
3-Point FG	8-16	9-20
Free Throws	17-26	14-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg