for complete access.
All Games Saturday, January 7, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Nuggets
48%101
117
14
Spurs
52%102
121
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
120.697108.8
SAS logo SAS
124.79787.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS117
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)117
0.2%
121
99.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2117
0.2%
121
99.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)117
0.6%
121
99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)116
0.5%
121
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)116
0.6%
120
99.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)116
1.4%
119
98.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)113
0.3%
119
99.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)113
0.3%
119
99.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 1113
0.4%
119
99.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENAfflalo 1' Layup (12 PTS)113
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)111
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)110
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)109
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMISS Miller 1' Layup109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)109
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS Miller 1' Driving Layup109
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)109
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 1:06SASSPURS Rebound109
1.8%
115
98.2%
Q4 - 1:07DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup109
2.2%
115
97.8%
Q4 - 1:14DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
4.1%
115
95.9%
Q4 - 1:16DENFord BLOCK (2 BLK)109
2.7%
115
97.3%
Q4 - 1:23DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)109
4.7%
115
95.3%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot109
4.0%
115
96.0%
Q4 - 1:47DENLawson 2' Layup (20 PTS)109
3.8%
115
96.2%
Q4 - 1:53SASJefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ford 7 AST)107
2.4%
115
97.6%
Q4 - 2:00SASFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
6.0%
112
94.0%
Q4 - 2:01DENJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)107
7.1%
112
92.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)107
10.9%
112
89.1%
Q4 - 2:27DENMiller 1' Layup (8 PTS)107
5.6%
112
94.4%
Q4 - 2:28SASFord Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)105
4.3%
112
95.7%
Q4 - 2:31SASFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
2.1%
112
97.9%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Gallinari 15' Step Back Jump Shot105
2.6%
112
97.4%
Q4 - 2:49SASFord 4' Driving Bank Shot (8 PTS)105
4.3%
112
95.7%
Q4 - 3:10DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P3.T15)105
7.3%
110
92.7%
Q4 - 3:13DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)105
12.6%
110
87.4%
Q4 - 3:15DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
8.6%
110
91.4%
Q4 - 3:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
12.6%
110
87.4%
Q4 - 3:23SASMISS Green 23' Jump Shot105
10.6%
110
89.4%
Q4 - 3:39DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)105
11.4%
110
88.6%
Q4 - 3:39DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2104
10.6%
110
89.4%
Q4 - 3:42DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
11.7%
110
88.3%
Q4 - 3:43SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot104
10.4%
110
89.6%
Q4 - 4:06SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)104
7.7%
110
92.3%
Q4 - 4:07DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Shot104
8.6%
110
91.4%
Q4 - 4:31SASParker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)104
11.0%
110
89.0%
Q4 - 4:43SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
14.9%
108
85.1%
Q4 - 4:44DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot104
16.6%
108
83.4%
Q4 - 5:02DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
24.2%
108
75.8%
Q4 - 5:05SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
18.3%
108
81.7%
Q4 - 5:05SASMISS Green 3' Tip Shot104
22.2%
108
77.8%
Q4 - 5:06SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot104
22.2%
108
77.8%
Q4 - 5:22SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
18.1%
108
81.9%
Q4 - 5:23DENMISS Fernandez 18' Jump Shot104
19.8%
108
80.2%
Q4 - 5:39SASJefferson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)104
24.0%
108
76.0%
Q4 - 6:04DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)104
32.2%
106
67.8%
Q4 - 6:09DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
20.9%
106
79.1%
Q4 - 6:12SASMISS Jefferson 2' Layup101
19.3%
106
80.7%
Q4 - 6:31DENHarrington 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)101
16.0%
106
84.0%
Q4 - 6:41SASParker 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)99
12.5%
106
87.5%
Q4 - 6:53DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)99
15.9%
104
84.1%
Q4 - 7:10DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
22.9%
104
77.1%
Q4 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot99
21.3%
104
78.7%
Q4 - 7:31SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
17.9%
104
82.1%
Q4 - 7:32DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 199
18.5%
104
81.5%
Q4 - 7:38DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
14.4%
104
85.6%
Q4 - 7:39SASMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot97
13.3%
104
86.7%
Q4 - 7:51SASMISS Neal Free Throw Technical97
11.1%
104
88.9%
Q4 - 8:14DENHarrington 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)97
13.1%
104
86.9%
Q4 - 8:31SASGreen 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)95
10.3%
104
89.7%
Q4 - 8:47DENBrewer 2' Layup (11 PTS)95
13.0%
102
87.0%
Q4 - 8:52DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
10.3%
102
89.7%
Q4 - 8:53SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
9.6%
102
90.4%
Q4 - 9:01SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
9.6%
102
90.4%
Q4 - 9:02DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot93
10.2%
102
89.8%
Q4 - 9:15SASGreen 2' Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)93
11.8%
102
88.2%
Q4 - 9:34DENLawson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)93
14.5%
100
85.5%
Q4 - 9:48SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 2 AST)91
11.7%
100
88.3%
Q4 - 10:05DENBrewer 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)91
18.9%
97
81.1%
Q4 - 10:10SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)89
15.6%
97
84.4%
Q4 - 10:20DENHarrington 2' Layup (14 PTS)89
12.9%
97
87.1%
Q4 - 10:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q4 - 10:24DENMISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q4 - 10:35SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q4 - 10:35SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
11.3%
96
88.7%
Q4 - 10:52DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
12.8%
95
87.2%
Q4 - 10:52DENBrewer 2' Layup (7 PTS)87
12.8%
95
87.2%
Q4 - 10:53DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup85
9.1%
95
90.9%
Q4 - 11:07SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)85
11.5%
95
88.5%
Q4 - 11:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
9.6%
95
90.4%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Brewer 2' Layup85
10.1%
95
89.9%
Q4 - 11:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)85
11.5%
95
88.5%
Q4 - 11:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 285
12.0%
94
88.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 11:46DENGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)85
12.2%
94
87.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS85
13.8%
94
86.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound85
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Anderson 30' 3PT Running Jump Shot85
13.1%
94
86.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENHarrington 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)85
12.7%
94
87.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)83
10.4%
94
89.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENFernandez Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)83
15.1%
91
84.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T11)83
17.6%
91
82.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENGreen STEAL (2 STL)83
15.0%
91
85.0%
Q3 - 1:04DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
18.5%
91
81.5%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Anderson 14' Pullup Jump Shot83
17.6%
91
82.4%
Q3 - 1:18DENFernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)83
15.8%
91
84.2%
Q3 - 1:18DENMISS Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 282
15.4%
91
84.6%
Q3 - 1:24SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)82
15.7%
91
84.3%
Q3 - 1:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
13.4%
91
86.6%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
14.0%
91
86.0%
Q3 - 1:58SASGreen 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q3 - 2:12SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
19.4%
89
80.6%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Miller 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot82
20.3%
89
79.7%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)82
22.5%
89
77.5%
Q3 - 2:55DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
19.3%
89
80.7%
Q3 - 3:10SASGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)80
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q3 - 3:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
15.1%
89
84.9%
Q3 - 3:21DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
15.9%
89
84.1%
Q3 - 3:40SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)80
17.6%
89
82.4%
Q3 - 3:53DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)80
23.3%
86
76.7%
Q3 - 3:53DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)79
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q3 - 4:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q3 - 4:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
22.0%
85
78.0%
Q3 - 4:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)78
23.7%
84
76.3%
Q3 - 4:15SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Bank Shot78
26.3%
84
73.7%
Q3 - 4:33SASSPURS Rebound78
23.7%
84
76.3%
Q3 - 4:34DENFord BLOCK (1 BLK)78
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q3 - 4:44SASGreen 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)78
27.5%
84
72.5%
Q3 - 5:03DENGallinari 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)78
31.0%
82
69.0%
Q3 - 5:15SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)76
27.9%
82
72.1%
Q3 - 5:15SASBlair REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)76
24.4%
82
75.6%
Q3 - 5:15SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot76
26.8%
82
73.2%
Q3 - 5:42DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)76
24.3%
82
75.7%
Q3 - 5:54DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
19.0%
82
81.0%
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot73
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q3 - 6:10DENLawson 2' Layup (14 PTS)73
17.2%
82
82.8%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot71
18.9%
80
81.1%
Q3 - 6:34DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)71
17.1%
80
82.9%
Q3 - 6:45DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q3 - 6:46SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q3 - 7:00DENParker STEAL (1 STL)68
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q3 - 7:05SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)68
13.9%
80
86.1%
Q3 - 7:20DENMiller 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)68
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q3 - 7:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 7:40SASBlair 1' Layup (10 PTS)66
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 7:41SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot66
19.6%
75
80.4%
Q3 - 7:56SASSPURS Rebound66
17.8%
75
82.2%
Q3 - 7:56SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
19.5%
75
80.5%
Q3 - 8:10DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)66
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q3 - 8:18SASJefferson 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
14.4%
75
85.6%
Q3 - 8:41DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 8:41DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 8:55SASDuncan 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)61
14.3%
73
85.7%
Q3 - 9:20DENGallinari 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)61
16.7%
71
83.3%
Q3 - 9:25SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)59
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q3 - 9:35DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)59
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 9:49SASNeal 9' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)57
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q3 - 10:00SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
12.9%
69
87.1%
Q3 - 10:01DENMISS Lawson 12' Jump Shot57
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q3 - 10:21SASBlair 2' Layup (8 PTS)57
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 10:46DENLawson 3' Layup (12 PTS)57
17.3%
67
82.7%
Q3 - 11:00SASBlair 11' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)55
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 11:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
18.1%
65
81.9%
Q3 - 11:16DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup55
18.8%
65
81.2%
Q3 - 11:41SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)55
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound55
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Blair 1' Layup55
27.0%
62
73.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)55
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
28.2%
62
71.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0SASMISS Neal 21' Pullup Jump Shot55
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENLawson 1' Layup (10 PTS)55
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q2 - 1:05DENBrewer 1' Dunk (5 PTS)53
29.4%
59
70.6%
Q2 - 1:10SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)51
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q2 - 1:26DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)51
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q2 - 1:38SASNeal 22' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q2 - 2:00DENGallinari 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)51
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q2 - 2:07SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)49
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q2 - 2:07DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q2 - 2:07DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q2 - 2:12DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
22.2%
57
77.8%
Q2 - 2:13SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
21.6%
57
78.4%
Q2 - 2:29DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 246
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q2 - 2:30DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
20.1%
57
79.9%
Q2 - 2:31SASMISS Parker 2' Layup46
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q2 - 2:50DENBrewer 4' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
18.1%
57
81.9%
Q2 - 3:01DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q2 - 3:02SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot44
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q2 - 3:26SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Blair 2' Layup44
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q2 - 3:29SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q2 - 3:30SASMISS Neal 5' Jump Shot44
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q2 - 3:42DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 243
14.9%
57
85.1%
Q2 - 3:55SASFord Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)43
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 4:01SASFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 4:02SASMISS Ford 7' Jump Shot43
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q2 - 4:24SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 4:25DENMISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q2 - 4:33DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q2 - 4:36DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.6%
57
85.4%
Q2 - 4:43DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q2 - 4:44SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot43
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q2 - 5:03DENLawson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Fernandez 3 AST)43
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q2 - 5:08SASJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)41
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q2 - 5:32DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)41
12.2%
57
87.8%
Q2 - 5:48SASNeal 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)38
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q2 - 6:18DENAfflalo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)38
11.5%
55
88.5%
Q2 - 6:24SASSplitter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)36
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 6:38DENBlair STEAL (1 STL)36
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 6:50SASFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q2 - 6:50SASFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
10.7%
54
89.3%
Q2 - 7:05DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)36
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q2 - 7:13DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 7:14SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot33
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 7:26SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 7:27DENMISS Harrington 14' Step Back Jump Shot33
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASFord 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)33
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q2 - 8:06SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 8:07DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup33
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 8:23SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 8:41DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
15.4%
48
84.6%
Q2 - 8:54SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 8:54SASSplitter 3' Layup (8 PTS)30
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 8:57SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 9:13DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)30
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 9:29SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)30
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 9:34DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)30
18.9%
43
81.1%
Q2 - 9:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 9:42SASMISS Leonard 6' Jump Shot30
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 10:01DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
19.1%
43
80.9%
Q2 - 10:16SASGreen 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)28
17.8%
43
82.2%
Q2 - 10:23DENMiller 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)28
19.1%
41
80.9%
Q2 - 10:35DENNuggets Rebound26
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 10:35DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 10:47SASSplitter 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)26
17.7%
41
82.3%
Q2 - 11:02DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q2 - 11:02DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 225
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 11:04DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 11:06DENGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)25
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 11:26SASLeonard 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)25
19.6%
39
80.4%
Q2 - 11:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 11:44SASMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
22.3%
37
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
25.3%
35
74.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 224
24.8%
35
75.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASSplitter 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)24
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENGallinari 6' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)24
27.1%
33
72.9%
Q1 - 1:01SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)22
25.5%
33
74.5%
Q1 - 1:14DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q1 - 1:14DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 221
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 1:27SASSplitter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)21
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 1:45DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)21
31.6%
28
68.4%
Q1 - 2:03SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q1 - 2:03SASBonner 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q1 - 2:05SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup18
31.1%
26
68.9%
Q1 - 2:28DENAfflalo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)18
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 2:42SASLeonard Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)16
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 2:49SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q1 - 2:50DENMISS Fernandez 20' Jump Shot16
30.4%
24
69.6%
Q1 - 3:04SASLeonard 1' Layup (2 PTS)16
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q1 - 3:07SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 3:09SASMISS Ford 16' Floating Jump Shot16
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 3:35DENFernandez 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)16
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 3:38DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 3:40SASMISS Green 6' Jump Shot14
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q1 - 3:56DENMozgov Foul Turnover (P1.T5)14
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 4:05SASParker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 4:13DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 4:29DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 4:30SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.5%
20
64.5%
Q1 - 4:50DENFernandez 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)14
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 4:58DENNuggets Rebound12
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 4:58SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 112
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q1 - 5:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.3%
18
65.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot12
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 5:13DENNuggets Rebound12
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:14DENMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot12
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 5:30SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:30SASBlair 2' Layup (4 PTS)12
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:31SASMISS Duncan 6' Fadeaway Jumper12
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 5:52DENLawson 3' Layup (4 PTS)12
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 6:10DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Blair 6' Turnaround Jump Shot10
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 6:21DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)10
34.6%
16
65.4%
Q1 - 6:23DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:24DENMISS Koufos 3' Layup10
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 6:35SASNeal 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)10
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 6:46SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.4%
14
61.6%
Q1 - 6:48DENMISS Koufos 2' Layup10
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 7:01SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 7:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 7:29DENGallinari 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup8
39.3%
12
60.7%
Q1 - 7:55SASDuncan 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)8
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 8:07DENMozgov 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
42.8%
10
57.2%
Q1 - 8:23SASParker 2' Layup (4 PTS)6
40.8%
10
59.2%
Q1 - 8:28SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 8:30DENMISS Lawson 8' Jump Bank Shot6
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 8:48SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 8:56SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 8:57SASMISS Neal 22' Jump Shot6
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 9:17DENLawson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Parker 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 9:41DENMozgov 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)4
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 10:03SASNeal 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
41.7%
6
58.3%
Q1 - 10:17SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 10:18DENMISS Afflalo 15' Pullup Jump Shot2
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:31SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
45.5%
3
54.5%
Q1 - 10:39DENGallinari Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:50SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:06DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:30DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:31SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot0
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:45DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mozgov: Tip to Lawson0
48.3%
0
51.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.23 61.6%
SAS
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
27
41
66%
SAS
24
33
73%
Midrange
DEN
11
24
46%
SAS
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
DEN
17
26
65%
SAS
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari3174%15.5 / 21
T. Lawson2053%10.0 / 19
A. Harrington1973%9.5 / 13
A. Afflalo1275%6.0 / 8
R. Fernandez1161%5.5 / 9
C. Brewer1179%5.5 / 7
A. Miller836%4.0 / 11
T. Mozgov4100%2.0 / 2
C. Andersen150%0.5 / 1
K. Koufos0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Green2486%12.0 / 14
R. Jefferson1979%9.5 / 12
T. Parker1953%9.5 / 18
D. Blair1050%5.0 / 10
G. Neal1045%5.0 / 11
T. Duncan1056%5.0 / 9
T. Splitter1083%5.0 / 6
T. Ford850%4.0 / 8
K. Leonard675%3.0 / 4
J. Anderson350%1.5 / 3
M. Bonner250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
83
+12
-14
95
SAS
82
+18
-15
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.23 61.6%
SAS
1.20 59.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
110.9
DEN 120.6
SAS 124.7 +4.1
Pace
94.1
93.0
DEN 108.8 +21.3
SAS 87.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.5
DEN 13.2 +3.2
SAS 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
52.8%
DEN 61.7% +1.6%
SAS 60.1%
TO %
15.7%
14.1%
DEN 14.0% +0.2%
SAS 14.2%
ORB %
27.7%
25.1%
DEN 30.3%
SAS 39.5% +9.2%
FTrt
32.6
26.1
DEN 32.1 +11.9
SAS 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
58.5%
DEN 54.3%
SAS 55.1% +0.8%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
DEN 9.3% +3.1%
SAS 6.2%
BLK %
8.1%
6.7%
DEN 5.8%
SAS 7.7% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.9%
DEN 61.6% +1.7%
SAS 59.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
60.6%
DEN 65.9%
SAS 72.7% +6.8%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.4%
DEN 45.8% +1.4%
SAS 44.4%
3P %
33.2%
39.3%
DEN 50.0% +5.0%
SAS 45.0%
FT %
73.6%
74.8%
DEN 65.4%
SAS 77.8% +12.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
36.1%
DEN 50.6% +13.5%
SAS 37.1%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
38.2%
DEN 29.6% +10.8%
SAS 40.4%
3P Att. %
24.3%
25.7%
DEN 19.8%
SAS 22.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points117121
Rebounds3338
Assists2527
Steals96
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)23 (2)
Field Goals46-8149-89
At-the-Rim FG27-4124-33
Midrange FG11-2416-36
2-Point FG38-6540-69
3-Point FG8-169-20
Free Throws17-2614-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
40.9
12
75%
2
3
2
1
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
39.5
31
74%
5
2
2
0
1
2
2
3
8-10
80%
7-12
58%
3-4
75%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
36.8
20
53%
3
10
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25
18.3
4
100%
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
F · 7'0" 265 · 23
6.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27
28.9
11
61%
3
3
1
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
25.9
19
73%
3
1
0
0
4
3
1
2
4-7
57%
6-7
86%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
25.8
8
36%
6
6
1
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
12.2
11
79%
5
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
4.9
1
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
Julyan Stone
#10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jordan Hamilton
#1 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
62%
33
25
9
4
14
0
10
23
17-26
65%
38-65
58%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.