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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hornets16%8881
8Mavericks84%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
43.6
19.6
15
70%
12
2
4
1
0
4
0
12
5-6
83%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
38.2
36.5
13
41%
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
3-12
5-12
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
37.4
28.3
9
49%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
3-5
60%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
25.2
25.3
10
56%
6
2
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
17.2
33.0
3
31%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
28.0
25.6
12
60%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
3-7
5-9
43%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
18.1
19.9
6
61%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
17.1
1.4
9
64%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
36%
3-4
75%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
8.2
7.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
7.0
1.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
18.3
0
2-5
44%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
16.5
1
2-5
47%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
13.6
1
1-3
44%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.6
30.1
30.0
10
37%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
52%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
30.1
25.4
6
39%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
52%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.9
26.2
20.2
13
55%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
22.2
19.1
12
63%
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.1
16.8
20.8
2
50%
6
0
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.3
31.2
28.7
12
67%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.2
24.1
21.2
13
68%
7
1
2
1
1
2
2
5
3-8
38%
5-6
2-4
83%
58%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.2
20.1
21.0
9
50%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
54%
1-4
25%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.9
16.4
12.9
11
55%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
3-5
60%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.7
14.3
6.4
3
150%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
7.2
5.7
5
102%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
1.5
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.8
23.8
1
0-1
42%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.