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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs31%9596
5Thunder69%102108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
28.0
20.1
18
70%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
24.8
30.9
4
23%
3
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-8
6-12
13%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
23.4
24.1
11
40%
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-13
4-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.5
19.1
31.7
13
67%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
3-4
75%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
18.0
25.6
7
55%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-3
33%
3-5
4-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
34.1
17.4
13
62%
10
2
2
1
0
1
3
7
1-1
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
20.9
23.0
6
43%
5
4
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
19.7
19.3
10
74%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
17.3
11.5
4
29%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
13.2
19.0
6
42%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
4-5
80%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
12.1
15.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
9.5
2.7
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
28.5
33.4
21
78%
10
7
1
1
0
5
0
10
10-10
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
24.7
33.2
13
47%
4
5
0
2
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-10
6-14
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
23.3
17.4
9
83%
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
21.9
22.5
10
68%
5
1
0
0
3
1
1
4
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
20.1
26.6
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
23.3
3.0
11
56%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
0-1
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
22.0
17.0
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
22.0
24.5
12
86%
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
21.6
30.2
20
67%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-9
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
12.0
3.2
2
53%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
7.5
17.4
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
6.9
2.4
6
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
6.2
1.3
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.