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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks32%9493
15Suns68%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
27.0
23.3
9
56%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
1-4
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
26.3
40.7
5
34%
1
4
3
2
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
5-12
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
23.4
21.1
11
40%
8
0
1
1
0
1
3
5
2-4
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
23.1
36.8
8
51%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
17.8
26.3
8
31%
6
3
1
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
28.4
23.8
12
67%
3
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
24.6
13.7
8
57%
7
3
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
22.5
9.8
15
60%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
7-10
70%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
21.8
19.8
11
51%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
0-0
-
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
16.7
1.5
4
40%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
8.4
3.9
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
11.5
0
1-3
51%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
27.9
31.4
11
55%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
27.9
26.5
18
90%
7
3
2
1
3
1
0
7
0-0
-
9-10
5-9
90%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
27.3
29.7
10
71%
1
17
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
24.3
26.0
14
61%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
48%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
19.1
20.5
16
114%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
4-4
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.3
29.7
23.7
13
65%
10
3
1
1
2
0
2
8
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
3-4
75%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
24.7
17.1
14
53%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
10-12
83%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
19.4
16.2
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
13.4
13.6
4
67%
1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
13.2
21.3
4
42%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
7.3
6.4
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
5.8
4.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.