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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies27%9282
3Lakers73%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.9
43.5
36.7
2
9%
11
7
4
1
3
0
2
9
2-4
50%
0-9
5-10
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
39.5
35.3
19
49%
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
37.9
30.1
11
55%
2
8
4
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.7
14.1
21.0
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.0
13.3
26.0
4
29%
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.4
28.6
4.8
17
45%
7
2
2
0
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
8-18
1-2
44%
46%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
25.6
24.3
15
46%
4
0
3
1
0
5
0
4
1-3
33%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
0-3
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
17.6
13.4
14
70%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
1-3
70%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 25.8
10.1
15.0
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
9.8
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Davis
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
7.2
0
1-1
42%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 20.8
6.0
0
1-2
41%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.6
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
40.3
34.0
13
67%
15
4
1
1
1
1
2
13
3-4
75%
5-8
6-11
63%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
38.2
36.5
26
53%
2
9
0
1
1
4
1
1
3-6
50%
10-17
8-17
59%
49%
1-5
20%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
35.3
22.1
15
70%
10
2
1
1
3
4
2
8
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
33.6
33.2
15
44%
15
0
2
1
0
5
6
9
5-7
71%
5-14
6-11
36%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
24.3
22.8
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
23.8
25.0
13
81%
3
2
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
3-6
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
22.1
21.4
6
60%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
12.7
17.2
2
33%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
9.8
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
10.1
0
1-1
46%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
8.2
0
1-2
48%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.