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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hornets18%9494
4Nuggets82%10681
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
35.2
36.4
13
51%
4
9
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-10
5-12
30%
45%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
30.4
27.4
19
73%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
3-4
75%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
28.5
24.9
20
63%
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
10-16
5-10
63%
47%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
26.1
27.0
4
29%
8
5
1
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
24.3
31.0
4
67%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
37.0
26.1
21
57%
5
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
5-8
63%
8-15
5-10
53%
49%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
23.7
2.8
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.9
14.4
6.7
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
36%
1-1
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
14.2
19.1
5
63%
1
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
5.3
3.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
0.9
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
13.8
0
2-4
48%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
12.9
0
2-4
45%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
37.9
34.7
15
58%
4
3
1
1
2
4
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
2-6
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.2
35.1
33.1
15
66%
3
3
1
1
0
3
2
1
1-1
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.2
34.5
31.8
13
52%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
8-10
80%
1-3
3-7
33%
53%
1-5
20%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
30.3
16.8
9
42%
11
4
1
1
1
2
3
8
3-6
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
58%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.5
11.4
16.2
4
52%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.8
27.1
23.7
14
58%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.8
22.1
26.9
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.9
17.8
24.3
2
25%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
9.3
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.8
7.7
9.3
5
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
5.4
9.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
1.4
2.8
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.1
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.3
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.