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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Spurs49%96103
19Bucks51%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.7
35.9
28.7
22
56%
2
8
0
1
0
7
0
2
2-4
50%
10-17
6-11
59%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.7
35.8
23.6
20
75%
8
7
1
1
3
3
0
8
2-3
67%
9-12
4-9
75%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.6
33.7
27.3
12
61%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
3-7
43%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.7
24.3
22.9
11
70%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.3
21.2
22.7
10
56%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.5
32.9
22.3
19
76%
3
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
9-11
2-5
82%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.8
21.1
14.1
3
38%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.0
14.8
19.2
2
100%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.8
9.4
13.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.6
5.4
22.0
2
36%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
5.4
17.0
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
5.2
0
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.5
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.8
42.1
31.6
34
85%
1
8
0
1
0
3
0
1
7-7
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
45%
3-4
75%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.3
36.1
35.3
15
58%
1
11
2
2
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
6-12
4-10
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.4
36.0
24.4
18
67%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
4-6
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.1
34.7
22.0
14
47%
11
3
1
0
1
3
5
6
0-0
-
7-15
4-8
47%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
18.3
21.8
7
44%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.7
29.7
20.1
10
51%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.5
15.5
15.0
6
75%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.3
14.2
24.8
0
0%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
13.3
23.0
2
25%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-9
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.1
17.3
0
2-5
47%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.5
8.7
0
1-2
52%
Darington Hobson
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
8.0
0
1-2
46%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.8
5.4
0
0-1
49%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.3
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.