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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns30%9583
3Lakers70%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
35.3
26.7
16
58%
12
2
0
1
0
1
4
8
2-2
100%
7-13
5-9
54%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.9
34.1
28.3
13
59%
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.3
32.9
25.0
5
18%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
1-9
3-7
11%
47%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
32.2
19.9
17
94%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
45%
3-5
60%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
28.3
29.7
6
38%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.1
19.0
20.1
11
42%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
1-4
25%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
15.8
25.7
2
20%
3
1
4
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.5
15.8
17.8
8
57%
3
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.6
13.9
13.5
5
83%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.8
12.7
17.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.6
6.9
0
1-2
41%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.6
5.6
0
1-1
56%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.4
39.1
36.6
48
65%
5
3
3
1
0
2
0
5
12-13
92%
18-28
8-17
64%
49%
0-3
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.5
38.6
35.8
16
58%
12
2
0
1
0
3
4
8
2-2
100%
7-13
6-11
54%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.2
30.0
33.2
12
56%
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
4-6
67%
4-8
6-11
50%
56%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.8
28.0
26.6
4
40%
7
7
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.4
19.4
23.3
5
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.9
28.6
24.3
3
50%
0
8
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
26.4
1.6
6
43%
8
3
1
0
0
0
5
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.2
20.0
15.7
5
36%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.1
8.9
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
1.1
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.7
21.3
1
2-3
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
7.1
0
0-1
45%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.0
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 23.7
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.