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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks55%9384
18Pacers45%9296
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.5
33.6
37.2
15
58%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.1
30.2
34.1
16
51%
7
3
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-6
33%
7-12
6-12
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.6
27.8
35.3
5
23%
2
3
2
2
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-9
4-8
22%
46%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.1
27.1
24.7
3
21%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
5.9
34.6
5
46%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
52%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.9
30.3
13.8
11
58%
7
0
1
0
0
3
3
4
5-8
63%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.5
29.1
11.6
10
46%
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.8
16.9
6.9
5
34%
3
0
2
0
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
14.8
10.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.1
11.9
2.4
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.2
7.1
2.2
8
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
40%
1-1
100%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
5.4
3.1
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
40%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
13.9
0
2-3
43%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.6
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
27.2
32.2
8
44%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.7
27.2
23.1
24
69%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
3-5
60%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.1
24.4
29.6
12
55%
11
4
1
0
4
2
3
8
2-2
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
24.1
26.5
12
68%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
20.9
33.3
5
56%
6
4
1
1
2
1
0
6
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.7
24.3
16.2
4
50%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.2
22.2
23.6
8
44%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.0
20.8
21.7
5
25%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-8
3-5
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.3
18.2
8.0
12
68%
5
3
1
0
1
3
0
5
2-4
50%
5-6
1-2
83%
43%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
14.5
12.9
3
150%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.3
5.4
12.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.1
5.4
3.8
3
39%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.7
5.4
1.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.