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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder64%9895
26Hornets36%9385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
38.0
35.4
29
74%
10
3
1
1
4
3
0
10
4-6
67%
8-13
6-13
62%
49%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
34.2
32.8
22
49%
2
7
3
1
0
2
2
0
4-6
67%
9-18
6-14
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.2
26.9
26.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
25.1
21.8
4
33%
6
0
1
0
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
20.6
20.2
3
52%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.4
30.3
27.9
14
54%
2
3
0
1
2
1
1
1
6-7
86%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
2-6
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
21.1
23.2
8
68%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
15.6
18.3
5
36%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
1-5
20%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.3
14.4
12.0
4
100%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.7
13.8
10.1
6
87%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.2
3.1
0
0-0
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.1
2.7
0
0-0
41%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
39.1
28.2
10
43%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-5
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
35.0
35.4
8
36%
6
8
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-11
57%
46%
0-4
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
30.9
25.7
17
50%
9
2
0
0
2
3
2
7
1-2
50%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
25.6
28.2
10
71%
4
0
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
24.7
26.2
6
43%
9
0
2
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
34.6
29.6
17
58%
3
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
7-13
5-11
54%
51%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
19.2
15.1
10
56%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
14.8
17.1
2
26%
4
2
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
11.2
9.4
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
5.0
4.1
3
104%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
11.9
0
2-4
49%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
9.3
0
1-3
47%
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.